Match Info

Date: 30 October 2021, Saturday


	Salford City		Exeter City

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.3	3
	2.25	3.2	3.1
	2.35	3.3	3.1
	2.39	3.1	2.95
	2.51	3.23	3.07
	2.38	3.1	2.88
	2.51	3.42	2.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↑ (2.08)	3.24 ↓ (3.34)	3.01 ↓ (3.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Salford City
39.4%

Draw
29.2%

Exeter City
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.2%

28.2%

26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31%

19.4%

38.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Salford City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Salford City's form might have worsened.

Exeter City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salford City than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Salford City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Exeter City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Salford City - Exeter City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 17 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs)).

Salford has the most likely position - 7 (6.67%), has project points - 68, has currently - 16, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (26%), has a chance of promoted (24%), has a very small chance of win league (4%).

Exeter has the most likely position - 2 (10.36%), has project points - 74, has currently - 23, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (30%), has a chance of promoted (38%), has a small chance of win league (10%).

Salford is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Exeter is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Salford will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Salford won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Salford won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Salford City
English League Two
23.10.21	Forest Green Rovers - Salford City	3:1 ✺
19.10.21	Salford City - Rochdale	0:0 ✺
16.10.21	Salford City - Hartlepool United	1:0 ✺
09.10.21	Walsall - Salford City	2:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
05.10.21	Salford City - Tranmere Rovers	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LTWLL
- Exeter City
English League Two
23.10.21	Exeter City - Mansfield Town	2:1 ✺
19.10.21	Crawley Town - Exeter City	1:3 ✺
16.10.21	Exeter City - Newport County	2:2 ✺
09.10.21	Stevenage Borough - Exeter City	2:2 ✺
English EFL Trophy
05.10.21	Cheltenham Town - Exeter City	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
27.03.21	Exeter City - Salford City	1:0
12.09.20	Salford City - Exeter City	2:2
14.12.19	Salford City - Exeter City	0:1

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