Match Info

Premier League - Round 8

Date: 26 November 2025, Wednesday

Location: Hamz Stadium (Kampala)

Where to Watch on TV:


Uganda	Sanyuka TV


	Express		Vipers

	1	X	2
	6.5	3.8	1.44
	7.14	3.74	1.43
	4.65	3.27	1.75	Watch
	7.45	3.6	1.45
	6.5	3.5	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.45 ↑ (4.5)	3.58 ↑ (3.2)	1.5 ↓ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Express
14.1%

Draw
25.4%

Vipers
60.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.7%

27.7%

52.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.3%

27.2%

53.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Express has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Express's form might have worsened.

Vipers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vipers's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Express than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Express, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vipers than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vipers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Express - Vipers Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Express will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Vipers will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
38', 0 - 1, Ssebagala E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
66', 0 - 2, Okello A. ⚽,
69', 0 - 3, Ogwang I. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Express won 1.

Express has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Vipers is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Vipers is considered a favorite.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Express won 3 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:26. (average 0.8:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Express won 1 match, drew 8 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:8. (average 0.9:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Express FC
Ugandan Super League
20.11.25	Lugazi Municipal - Express	0:0 ✺
05.11.25	Express - Mbarara City	4:1 ✺
30.10.25	Bul - Express	0:0 ✺
23.10.25	Express - Kampala City Council	0:1 ✺
17.10.25	Uganda Revenue Authority SC - Express	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 TWTLT
- Vipers SC
Ugandan Super League
22.11.25	Vipers - Maroons	2:1 ✺
07.11.25	Vipers - Kampala City Council	1:0 ✺
01.11.25	Entebbe UPPC - Vipers	0:1 ✺
CAF Champions League
24.10.25	Power Dynamos - Vipers	1:1 ✺
19.10.25	Vipers - Power Dynamos	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Ugandan Super League
11.04.25	Express - Vipers	2:2
19.09.24	Vipers - Express	3:0
30.12.23	Express - Vipers	2:0
16.05.23	Vipers - Express	5:2
13.12.22	Express - Vipers	0:0
30.10.21	Express - Vipers	2:2
23.04.21	Vipers - Express	0:1

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