Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 17

Date: 12 January 2025, Sunday


	Jerez		Olivenza

	1	X	2
	1.49	3.8	5.75
	1.5	3.9	5.6
				Watch
	1.5	4	5.48
	1.5	3.9	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↑ (1.31)	3.9 ↓ (4.75)	5.61 ↓ (7.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jerez
60.6%

Draw
23.3%

Olivenza
16.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.3%

19.1%

11.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.8%

18.2%

11%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jerez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jerez's form might have worsened.

Olivenza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jerez than the current prediction. (+12.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jerez, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olivenza than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Olivenza, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Jerez - Olivenza Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
29', 0 - 1, Quique Roldan (Pen),
45+2', 1 - 1, Chavez Chema (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
73', 2 - 1, Chavez Chema ⚽,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 10 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Jerez won 3.

Recent matches Jerez is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Olivenza is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Jerez is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Jerez won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14:7 (average 1.6:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Jerez won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:2 (average 1.4:0.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jerez CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
21.12.24	Badajoz - Jerez	1:1 ✺
14.12.24	Santa Amalia - Jerez	1:0 ✺
08.12.24	Jerez - Calamonte	3:1 ✺
01.12.24	Montijo - Jerez	1:1 ✺
24.11.24	Jerez - Villafranca	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 TLWTT
- Olivenza FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
22.12.24	Olivenza - Santa Amalia	0:2 ✺
15.12.24	Calamonte - Olivenza	2:0 ✺
08.12.24	Olivenza - Montijo	1:1 ✺
01.12.24	Villafranca - Olivenza	2:0 ✺
24.11.24	Olivenza - Moralo	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
14.04.24	Olivenza - Jerez	1:2
26.11.23	Jerez - Olivenza	0:1
18.02.23	Olivenza - Jerez	2:2
16.10.22	Jerez - Olivenza	1:0
20.03.22	Olivenza - Jerez	2:3
14.11.21	Jerez - Olivenza	3:0
10.02.21	Olivenza - Jerez	0:0

Jerez - Olivenza: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide