Match Info

Super Lig - Round 17

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Eyüp Stadium (Istanbul)

Referee: Yilmaz A. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Eyüpspor		Fenerbahçe

	1	X	2
	6.5	4.75	1.41	Watch
	6.88	4.68	1.4
	8.3	5.12	1.39
	7.09	4.87	1.42
	7	4.5	1.4
	7.44	4.82	1.45	Watch
	7	4.5	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.17 ↑ (6.1)	4.75 ↑ (4.19)	1.41 ↓ (1.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eyüpspor
13.2%

Draw
19.9%

Fenerbahçe
67%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.5%

22.5%

62%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.1%

22%

63.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eyüpspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Fenerbahçe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eyüpspor than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fenerbahçe than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.4%	9.4%	81.2%

Eyüpspor - Fenerbahçe Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -1.5, 2nd Half - Fenerbahçe (3.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Fenerbahçe will win (26 of 32 users predict this - 81.25%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.73% – 94.77%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Fenerbahçe will win (18 of 18 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 19 Selected Experts predict this event. Fenerbahçe (votes: 19 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Marcos Felipe (G) 11. Gurler S. 6. Yalcin R. (C) 5. Ortakaya E. 18. Mujakic N. 33. Stepanenko T. 70. Dragus D. 30. Kayan Y. 10. Demirbay K. 9. Thiam M. 19. Bozok U.	31. Ederson (G) 18. Muldur M. 37. Skriniar M. (C) 24. Oosterwolde J. 22. Mercan L. 5. Yuksek I. 7. Fred 21. Asensio M. 94. Talisca 9. Akturkoglu K. 10. Duran J.
Substitutes
26. Altunbas M. 40. Ampem P. O. 55. Gezek B. A. 20. Legowski M. 77. Meras U. 93. Sadia C. 99. Seslar S. 28. Taskin I. 17. Ulvan T. 24. Yilmaz J. (G)	70. Aydin O. 13. Cetin T. (G) 14. Demir Y. E. 1. Egribayat I. (G) 28. Elmaz B. 96. Karatas H. 4. Soyuncu C. 53. Szymanski S. 67. Uregen K.
Coaches
Ak O.	Tedesco D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
27', 0 - 1, Talisca ⚽, Mercan L. (A),
34', 0 - 2, Asensio M. ⚽, Talisca (A),
42', Ortakaya E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
66', Kayan Y. ↓, Ampem P. O. ↑,
66', Talisca ↓, Aydin O. ↑,
76', 0 - 3, Duran J. ⚽, Asensio M. (A),
82', Akturkoglu K. ↓, Demir Y. E. ↑,
82', Yuksek I. ↓, Szymanski S. ↑,
87', Dragus D. ↓, Sadia C. ↑,
87', Stepanenko T. ↓, Taskin I. ↑,
87', Demirbay K. ↓, Gezek B. A. ↑,
88', Tedesco D. 🟨,
89', Asensio M. ↓, Karatas H. ↑,
90', Fred ↓, Elmaz B. ↑,
90+1', Taskin I. 🟨,
90+3', Muldur M. 🟨,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).

In recent matches, Eyüpspor has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Fenerbahçe is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Fenerbahçe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Fenerbahçe is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Eyüpspor: Bayirkan C. (Inactive) Luccas Claro (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Fenerbahçe: En Nesyri Y. (International duty) Nene D. (International duty) Semedo N. (Injury) Soyuncu C. (Knee Injury) Yandas M. (Suspended)

There are questionable in Eyüpspor: Lucas Calegari (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Fenerbahçe: Brown A. (Injury)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Eyüpspor won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Eyüpspor won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Eyüpspor
Turkish Super League
13.12.25	Çaykur Rizespor - Eyüpspor	3:0 ✺
06.12.25	Eyüpspor - Kayserispor	1:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
03.12.25	Eyüpspor - Çankaya	6:1 ✺
Turkish Super League
29.11.25	Gaziantep - Eyüpspor	1:2 ✺
22.11.25	Eyüpspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LTWWT
- Fenerbahçe
Turkish Super League
15.12.25	Fenerbahçe - Konyaspor	4:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
11.12.25	Brann - Fenerbahçe	0:4 ✺
Turkish Super League
06.12.25	İstanbul Başakşehir - Fenerbahçe	1:1 ✺
01.12.25	Fenerbahçe - Galatasaray	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
27.11.25	Fenerbahçe - Ferencvárosi	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
18.05.25	Fenerbahçe - Eyüpspor	2:1
20.12.24	Eyüpspor - Fenerbahçe	1:1

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