Match Info

Super Lig - Round 14

Date: 1 December 2025, Monday

Location: Chobani Stadium Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu (Istanbul)

Referee: Kol Y. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SupeSport ESPN 1
Albania	SuperSport 2
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Chile	Disney+
China	ZhiBo8
Croatia	SportKlub 1
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
Hong-kong	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Now Player
Hungary	Sport 1
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Iran	IRIB Varzesh
Israel	Sport 1
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Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect
Mexico	Claro Sports, Disney+, ESPN
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Norte
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect
Portugal	Sport TV1
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Slovenia	SportKlub 2
South-america	ESPN 6 South
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Digiturk
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network
Venezuela	Disney+


	Fenerbahçe		Galatasaray

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.5	3.05	Watch
	2.21	3.42	3.14
	2.27	3.48	3.25
	2.2	3.3	3
	2.3	3.53	3.2	Watch
	2.16	3.33	3.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↓ (2.28)	3.43 ↑ (3.42)	3.13 ↑ (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fenerbahçe
42.5%

Draw
27.5%

Galatasaray
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

27.2%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

25.5%

29.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fenerbahçe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Galatasaray has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fenerbahçe than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Galatasaray than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.6%	8.9%	12.5%

Fenerbahçe - Galatasaray Predictions

Users Predictions: 56 users predict this event. Fenerbahçe will win (votes: 44 - 78.6%). Galatasaray will win (votes: 7 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 8.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fenerbahçe: 67.9% – 89.3%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Fenerbahçe (2.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

O/U 1 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Fenerbahçe will win (27 of 34 users predict this - 79.41%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 35 Selected Experts predict this event. Fenerbahçe (votes: 28 - 80%). Galatasaray (votes: 4 - 11.4%). Tie (votes: 3 - 8.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Ederson (G) 27. Semedo N. 37. Skriniar M. (C) 24. Oosterwolde J. 3. Brown A. 11. Alvarez E. 45. Nene D. 21. Asensio M. 5. Yuksek I. 9. Akturkoglu K. 19. En Nesyri Y.	1. Cakir U. (G) 6. Sanchez D. 99. Lemina M. 42. Bardakci A. (C) 88. Karatas K. 34. Torreira L. 8. Gabriel Sara 10. Sane L. 20. Gundogan I. 53. Yilmaz B. A. 45. Osimhen V.
Substitutes
70. Aydin O. 13. Cetin T. (G) 14. Demir Y. E. 10. Duran J. 7. Fred 22. Mercan L. 18. Muldur M. 50. Rodrigo Becao 94. Talisca 8. Yandas M.	11. Akgun Y. 23. Ayhan K. 30. Demir Y. 33. Gurpuz G. 19. Guvenc G. (G) 9. Icardi M. 18. Kutlu B. 21. Kutucu A. 12. Sen B. (G) 91. Unyay A.
Coaches
Tedesco D.	Buruk O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
27', 0 - 1, Sane L. ⚽, Yilmaz B. A. (A),
36', Semedo N. 🟨,
40', Lemina M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', Oosterwolde J. 🟨,
63', En Nesyri Y. ↓, Duran J. ↑,
63', Akturkoglu K. ↓, Talisca ↑,
63', Yilmaz B. A. 🟨,
66', Ederson 🟨,
71', Osimhen V. 🟨,
77', Gundogan I. ↓, Unyay A. ↑,
78', Cakir U. 🟨,
79', Nene D. ↓, Aydin O. ↑,
79', Yuksek I. ↓, Fred ↑,
89', Osimhen V. ↓, Icardi M. ↑,
89', Brown A. ↓, Mercan L. ↑,
90+4', Karatas K. ↓, Akgun Y. ↑,
90+5', 1 - 1, Duran J. ⚽, Mercan L. (A),
90+7', Torreira L. ↓, Kutlu B. ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fenerbahçe won 1.

Fenerbahçe is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Galatasaray has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Fenerbahçe could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Fenerbahçe: Soyuncu C. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Galatasaray: Akgun Y. (Groin Injury) Ayhan K. (Groin Injury) Baltaci M. (Suspended) Elmali E. (Suspended) Kutlu B. (Injury) Lemina M. (Muscle Injury) Osimhen V. (Hamstring Injury) Sallai R. (Red Card) Singo W. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Fenerbahçe: Demir Y. E. (Injury)

There are questionable in Galatasaray: Jakobs I. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Fenerbahçe won 5 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 14:19. (average 0.7:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Fenerbahçe won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:13. (average 0.8:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fenerbahçe
UEFA Europa League
27.11.25	Fenerbahçe - Ferencvárosi	1:1 ✺
Turkish Super League
23.11.25	Çaykur Rizespor - Fenerbahçe	2:5 ✺
09.11.25	Fenerbahçe - Kayserispor	4:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
06.11.25	Viktoria Plzeň - Fenerbahçe	0:0 ✺
Turkish Super League
02.11.25	Beşiktaş - Fenerbahçe	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TWWTW
- Galatasaray
UEFA Champions League
25.11.25	Galatasaray - Saint-Gilloise	0:1 ✺
Turkish Super League
22.11.25	Galatasaray - Gençlerbirliği	3:2 ✺
09.11.25	Kocaelispor - Galatasaray	1:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
05.11.25	Ajax - Galatasaray	0:3 ✺
Turkish Super League
01.11.25	Galatasaray - Trabzonspor	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Cup
02.04.25	Fenerbahçe - Galatasaray	1:2
Turkish Super League
24.02.25	Galatasaray - Fenerbahçe	0:0
21.09.24	Fenerbahçe - Galatasaray	1:3
19.05.24	Galatasaray - Fenerbahçe	0:1
Turkish Super Cup
07.04.24	Galatasaray - Fenerbahçe	Galatasaray awarded
Turkish Super League
24.12.23	Fenerbahçe - Galatasaray	0:0
04.06.23	Galatasaray - Fenerbahçe	3:0

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