Match Info

Super Lig - Round 13

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Eyüp Stadium (Istanbul)

Referee: Aydin C. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1


	Eyüpspor		Fatih Karagümrükspor

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.5	3.2	Watch
	2.16	3.33	3.33
	1.92	3.65	4.09
	1.86	3.63	4.07	Watch
	2.16	3.5	3.54	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↑ (1.84)	3.52 ↓ (3.57)	3.65 ↓ (4.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eyüpspor
46.8%

Draw
27.1%

Fatih Karagümrükspor
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.8%

26.2%

23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7%

25.3%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eyüpspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Fatih Karagümrükspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eyüpspor than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Eyüpspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fatih Karagümrükspor than the current prediction. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.5%	5.9%	17.6%

Eyüpspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Eyüpspor will win (votes: 12 - 75%). Karagümrük will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Eyüpspor: 53.8% – 96.2%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Karagümrük (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Karagümrük (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Eyüpspor will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Eyüpspor (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Karagümrük (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Marcos Felipe (G) 2. Lucas Calegari 6. Yalcin R. (C) 5. Ortakaya E. 18. Mujakic N. 10. Demirbay K. 33. Stepanenko T. 11. Gurler S. 8. Akbaba E. 19. Bozok U. 9. Thiam M.	13. Grbic I. (G) 6. Cankaya A. R. (C) 3. Roco E. 29. Balkovec J. 33. Kurukalip C. 14. Doh M. 5. Kranevitter M. 37. Camacho J. 8. Ozcan B. 70. Serginho 19. Fofana D. D.
Substitutes
7. Akbunar H. 40. Ampem P. O. 70. Dragus D. 30. Kayan Y. 20. Legowski M. 14. Saiz S. 99. Seslar S. 28. Taskin I. 17. Ulvan T. 24. Yilmaz J. (G)	94. Cinar A. 21. Cukur T. 24. Ersoy B. 47. Esgaio R. 91. Gray A. 11. Johnson D. 32. Kadioglu M. 72. Kalayci B. 20. Kalpakli T. 96. Yandal K. (G)
Coaches
Ak O.	Korkmaz O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
26', Kurukalip C. ↓, Esgaio R. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
59', Camacho J. ↓, Cukur T. ↑,
65', Lucas Calegari ↓, Dragus D. ↑,
66', 1 - 0, Akbaba E. ⚽, Mujakic N. (A),
70', Bozok U. 🟨,
76', Bozok U. ↓, Ampem P. O. ↑,
76', Akbaba E. ↓, Kayan Y. ↑,
83', Doh M. ↓, Johnson D. ↑,
83', Ozcan B. ↓, Kalayci B. ↑,
90', 1 - 1, Kranevitter M. ⚽, Cukur T. (A),
90', Kranevitter M. 🟨,
90+2', Johnson D. 🟨,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig).

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Eyüpspor will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Eyüpspor: Bayirkan C. (Inactive) Luccas Claro (Ankle Injury) Saiz S. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Eyüpspor: Stepanenko T. (Injury)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Eyüpspor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, Eyüpspor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Eyüpspor
Turkish Super League
09.11.25	Samsunspor - Eyüpspor	1:0 ✺
03.11.25	Eyüpspor - Antalyaspor	0:1 ✺
25.10.25	Trabzonspor - Eyüpspor	2:0 ✺
20.10.25	Eyüpspor - Kasımpaşa	2:0 ✺
04.10.25	Kocaelispor - Eyüpspor	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLWL
- Fatih Karagümrükspor
Turkish Super League
09.11.25	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Konyaspor	2:0 ✺
03.11.25	Çaykur Rizespor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	1:0 ✺
24.10.25	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Kayserispor	2:2 ✺
19.10.25	Fenerbahçe - Fatih Karagümrükspor	2:1 ✺
05.10.25	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Gaziantep	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Second League Red Group
11.03.16	Eyüpspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	1:0
30.10.15	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Eyüpspor	2:1

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