Match Info

Turkish Cup - Round 4

Date: 5 March 2026, Thursday

Location: Eyüp Stadium (Istanbul)

Referee: Celik D. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	A Spor
Turkey	A Spor


	Eyüpspor		Konyaspor

	1	X	2
	5.25	4	1.53
	5.56	3.95	1.56	Watch
	5.24	4.09	1.58
	10.54	4.32	1.35	Watch
	4.8	3.7	1.57
	5.42	4.1	1.55	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.14 ↑ (3.97)	4.03 ↑ (3.54)	1.52 ↓ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eyüpspor
15.3%

Draw
23.3%

Konyaspor
61.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.3%

26.1%

50.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.5%

25.3%

52.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eyüpspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Eyüpspor's form might have worsened.

Konyaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Konyaspor's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eyüpspor than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Eyüpspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Konyaspor than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Konyaspor, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.7%	0%	93.3%

Eyüpspor - Konyaspor Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Eyüpspor (2.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

AH +1 - Eyüpspor (1.73) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Users Predictions: Konyaspor will win (14 of 15 users predict this - 93.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.7% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Konyaspor will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Eyüpspor (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Konyaspor (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Marcos Felipe (C) 22. Radu D. 16. Yasar A. 4. Luccas Claro 88. Yavuz A. 15. Raux Yao C. 14. Ndoye D. 7. Rotariu D. 27. Manga I. 26. Altunbas M. 25. Sy A. K.	1. Ertas D. (G) 7. Tasci T. 20. Bazoer R. 39. Nagalo A. 3. Subasi K. (C) 21. Jo Jin-ho 16. Jevtovic M. 30. Buga I. E. 32. Svendsen S. 99. Kramer B. 17. Goncalves D.
Substitutes
57. Akkaya T. 56. Aydogdu D. S. 38. Aydogdu E. 78. Ay O. 65. Ceyhan O. 44. Kara O. B. 31. Keseci U. (G) 2. Lucas Calegari 42. Satli B. K. 94. Ugurlu O.	29. Aydin E. (G) 25. Cobanoglu O. 34. Dagdevir A. K. 28. Dogan E. 33. Elgun T. 35. Seven E. I. 36. Tirpanci A. 14. Var M. 27. Yagmur E. C. 89. Yanik A.
Coaches
Gerin A.	Palut I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Luccas Claro (Own goal),
23', Rotariu D. ↓, Lucas Calegari ↑,
45+1', Bazoer R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Nagalo A. ↓, Yanik A. ↑,
56', Kramer B. (Penalty Awarded),
60', Yasar A. 🟨,
62', Luccas Claro ↓, Satli B. K. ↑,
70', Jevtovic M. ↓, Elgun T. ↑,
77', Jo Jin-ho 🟨,
79', Buga I. E. ↓, Cobanoglu O. ↑,
84', Altunbas M. ↓, Aydogdu D. S. ↑,
84', Radu D. ↓, Ceyhan O. ↑,
84', Raux Yao C. ↓, Ugurlu O. ↑,
89', Goncalves D. ↓, Dagdevir A. K. ↑,
89', Tasci T. ↓, Dogan E. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 5 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Turkish Cup (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Eyüpspor won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Konyaspor is the team to beat.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Eyüpspor won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 1.2:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Eyüpspor won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Eyüpspor
Turkish Super League
28.02.26	Göztepe - Eyüpspor	0:0 ✺
21.02.26	Eyüpspor - Gençlerbirliği	1:0 ✺
13.02.26	Galatasaray - Eyüpspor	5:1 ✺
08.02.26	Eyüpspor - İstanbul Başakşehir	1:2 ✺
Turkish Cup
04.02.26	Gençlerbirliği - Eyüpspor	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 TWLLT
- Konyaspor
Turkish Super League
27.02.26	İstanbul Başakşehir - Konyaspor	2:0 ✺
21.02.26	Konyaspor - Galatasaray	2:0 ✺
14.02.26	Alanyaspor - Konyaspor	2:1 ✺
08.02.26	Konyaspor - Göztepe	0:0 ✺
Turkish Cup
05.02.26	Konyaspor - Aliaga	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 LWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
19.01.26	Konyaspor - Eyüpspor	1:1
10.08.25	Eyüpspor - Konyaspor	1:4
09.03.25	Eyüpspor - Konyaspor	2:1
Turkish Cup
04.02.25	Konyaspor - Eyüpspor	3:1
Turkish Super League
06.10.24	Konyaspor - Eyüpspor	2:1
Turkish Cup
29.10.19	Eyüpspor - Konyaspor	1:0 ET

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