Match Info

Primera B - Apertura - Round 9

Date: 29 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Municipal de Pilar-Carlos Barraza (Buenos Aires)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports Play


	Fénix		Comunicaciones

	1	X	2
	3.85	2.9	2.1	Watch
	3.97	2.82	2.08	Watch
	2.7	2.7	2.75
	3.97	2.82	2.1
	3.85	2.9	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.67 ↑ (2.39)	2.83 ↓ (2.88)	2.23 ↓ (3.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fénix
25.3%

Draw
32.9%

Comunicaciones
41.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.7%

32.2%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7%

31.4%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fénix has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fénix's form might have worsened.

Comunicaciones has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Comunicaciones's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fénix than the current prediction. (+14.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fénix, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Comunicaciones than the current prediction. (-13.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Comunicaciones, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	16.7%	50%

Fénix - Comunicaciones Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Fénix will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Comunicaciones will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Parra V. (G) 4. Bembo J. 2. Martin Pereyra S. 6. Cordoba L. 3. Rodriguez J. 15. Rizzo F. 5. Diaz F. 10. Melivilo F. 11. Perez F. 7. Breccia R. 20. Meridione A.	1. Otarola F. (G) 4. Chimino C. 6. Lopez F. 2. Zabala G. 3. Lopez M. 8. Puigdellivol C. 5. Arrighi A. 10. Ibanez J. 11. Maguicha D. 7. Tunessi M. 9. Brambillo M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
4', 0 - 1, Ibanez J. ⚽,
7', 0 - 2, Tunessi M. ⚽,
38', Tunessi M. 🟨,
43', Melivilo F. 🟨,
43', Zabala G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
52', Hernandez B. ↓, Diaz F. ↑,
52', Alric F. ↓, Zeoliti T. ↑,
52', Melivilo F. ↓, Meridione A. ↑,
57', Zabala G. ↓, Arrechea N. ↑,
66', Arrighi A. 🟨,
71', Arrighi A. ↓, Fabello F. ↑,
73', Bembo J. ↓, Auteri S. ↑,
81', Tunessi M. ↓, Rozic T. ↑,
81', Sosa S. ↓, Maguicha D. ↑,
81', Brambillo M. ↓, Carruega S. ↑,
82', Breccia R. ↓, Florentin C. ↑,
86', Chimino C. 🟨,
90+3', Carruega S. 🟨,
90+4', Yzaurralde N. 🟨,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 19 and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Fénix won 1.

Both teams are in bad shape now.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Fénix won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 5:9 (average 0.6:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Fénix won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3:5 (average 0.8:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Fénix Buenos Aires
Argentinian Primera B
23.03.25	Deportivo Armenio - Fénix	1:1 ✺
17.03.25	Fénix - San Martín de Burzaco	1:2 ✺
09.03.25	Sacachispas - Fénix	0:0 ✺
01.03.25	Fénix - Deportivo Merlo	1:1 ✺
24.02.25	Sportivo Dock Sud - Fénix	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 TLTTL
- Club Comunicaciones Buenos Aires
Argentinian Primera B
22.03.25	Comunicaciones - Deportivo Laferrere	2:2 ✺
16.03.25	Liniers - Comunicaciones	2:0 ✺
04.03.25	Comunicaciones - Deportivo Armenio	0:1 ✺
24.02.25	San Martín de Burzaco - Comunicaciones	1:0 ✺
19.02.25	Comunicaciones - Sacachispas	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
05.08.24	Fénix - Comunicaciones	1:0
19.03.24	Comunicaciones - Fénix	1:1
28.08.23	Fénix - Comunicaciones	0:1
22.04.23	Comunicaciones - Fénix	1:0
10.09.22	Comunicaciones - Fénix	1:1
17.05.22	Fénix - Comunicaciones	1:2
18.09.21	Comunicaciones - Fénix	1:0

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