The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Fénix 37.2%
Draw 34.4%
San Martín de Burzaco 28.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.6%
29.8%
27.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.1%
30.1%
27.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fénix has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fénix's form might have worsened.
San Martín de Burzaco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fénix than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fénix, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Martín de Burzaco than the current prediction. (-1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
11.1%
66.7%
22.2%
Fénix - San Martín de Burzaco Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Fénix will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). SM de Burzaco will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 75%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 45% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Parra V. (G) 4. Martin Pereyra S. 2. Ferro G. (C) 6. Cordoba L. 3. Rodriguez J. 8. Silva D. 5. Diaz F. 11. Perez F. 7. Meridione A. 9. Anriquez D. 10. Melivilo F.
1. Rehak G. (G) 4. Escudero M. 2. Molina B. 6. Diaz S. 3. Siliman A. 8. Ortigoza M. (C) 5. Benitez F. 10. Auzqui D. 11. Geneiro L. 7. Treppo E. 9. Gimenez F.
Substitutes
. Acosta M. . Breccia R. . Florentin C. . Hernandez B. . Mayor J. . Pintos B. . Rizzo F. . Rolon B. (G) . Sanchez M.
18. Camejo F. 17. Camejo J. 20. Chavez B. 15. Denis K. 12. Figueroa J. (G) 14. Mackay G. 19. Moreira L. 16. Roth J. 13. Tobon J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
1', Ferro G. 🟨,
31', 0 - 1, Siliman A. ⚽,
36', Melivilo F. 🟨,
41', Geneiro L. 🟨,
45+1', Diaz F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
54', Ferro G. ↓, Pintos B. ↑,
56', Meridione A. ↓, Sanchez M. ↑,
56', Pintos B. 🟨,
57', 0 - 2, Treppo E. ⚽,
68', Martin Pereyra S. ↓, Breccia R. ↑,
68', Treppo E. ↓, Camejo F. ↑,
73', Gimenez F. 🟨,
75', Melivilo F. ↓, Hernandez B. ↑,
75', Anriquez D. ↓, Florentin C. ↑,
77', Escudero M. 🟨,
78', 1 - 2, Perez F. (Pen),
79', Benitez F. ↓, Roth J. ↑,
84', Gimenez F. ↓, Chavez B. ↑,
84', Auzqui D. ↓, Camejo J. ↑,
Preview
The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 16 and 14).
Fénix is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches SM de Burzaco is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
In this match Fénix is a favorite.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Fénix won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:3 (average 0.5:1.5).
Including matches at home between the teams Fénix won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1
Last Results with these Odds
Fénix - the odds 2.17 are the expected chance of winning is 42.56%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.