Match Info

ARGENTINA: Primera B - Apertura - Round 8

Date: 23 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Armenia Stadium (Buenos Aires)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports Play


	Deportivo Armenio		Fénix

	1	X	2
	1.75	3	4.5
	2.44	2.9	3.1	Watch
	2.11	3.08	3.46	Watch
	2.15	2.9	3.4
	2.16	2.96	3.56
	2.44	2.9	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (1.85)	2.96 ↓ (3.3)	3.52 ↓ (4.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Armenio
42.5%

Draw
31.3%

Fénix
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.6%

27.8%

22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3%

26.9%

21.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Armenio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo Armenio's form might have worsened.

Fénix has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Armenio than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Armenio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fénix than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Deportivo Armenio - Fénix Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lopez I. (G) 4. Rodriguez C. 2. Segovia I. 6. Medina L. 3. Perez I. 8. Almanza F. 5. Sica N. 10. Barrionuevo D. 11. Venetucci V. 7. Maldonado G. 9. Herrera Jonathan N.	1. Parra V. (G) 4. Martin Pereyra S. 2. Pintos B. 6. Cordoba L. 3. Rodriguez J. 8. Silva D. 5. Diaz F. 11. Perez F. 10. Melivilo F. 7. Sanchez M. 9. Anriquez D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Anriquez D. ⚽,
13', Medina L. 🟨,
15', Troxler N. ↓, Rodriguez C. ↑,
20', Barrionuevo D. 🟨,
25', 1 - 1, Herrera Jonathan N. ⚽,
29', Anriquez D. 🟥,
34', Medina L. ↓, Segovia I. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Lopez I. ↓, Nistal N. ↑,
52', Sanchez M. ↓, Rizzo F. ↑,
59', Martin Pereyra S. 🟨,
60', Melivilo F. ↓, Hernandez B. ↑,
62', 🟨,
64', Maldonado G. ↓, Jerez T. ↑,
64', Venetucci V. ↓, Motta F. ↑,
71', Segovia I. 🟨,
76', Herrera Jonathan N. 🟨,
83', Breccia R. ↓, Meridione A. ↑,
90+5', Meridione A. 🟨,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 13 and 19).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Deportivo Armenio won 1.

Recent matches Deportivo Armenio is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Fénix is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Fénix could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Deportivo Armenio is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Deportivo Armenio won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:3 (average 0.5:0.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Deportivo Armenio won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:2 (average 0.5:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Deportivo Armenio - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 49.57%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Armenio
Copa Argentina
19.03.25	Talleres de Córdoba - Deportivo Armenio	3:4 penalties ✺
Argentinian Primera B
15.03.25	Deportivo Laferrere - Deportivo Armenio	2:0 ✺
09.03.25	Deportivo Armenio - Liniers	0:1 ✺
04.03.25	Comunicaciones - Deportivo Armenio	0:1 ✺
18.02.25	Deportivo Armenio - San Martín de Burzaco	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.4 WLLWT
- CA Fénix Buenos Aires
Argentinian Primera B
17.03.25	Fénix - San Martín de Burzaco	1:2 ✺
09.03.25	Sacachispas - Fénix	0:0 ✺
01.03.25	Fénix - Deportivo Merlo	1:1 ✺
24.02.25	Sportivo Dock Sud - Fénix	3:2 ✺
19.02.25	Fénix - Villa San Carlos	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
27.07.24	Deportivo Armenio - Fénix	0:0
03.04.24	Fénix - Deportivo Armenio	1:1
16.09.23	Deportivo Armenio - Fénix	0:1
15.05.23	Fénix - Deportivo Armenio	0:0
18.06.22	Deportivo Armenio - Fénix	1:0
19.02.22	Fénix - Deportivo Armenio	0:0
13.09.21	Fénix - Deportivo Armenio	0:1

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