Match Info

Primera C - Round 6

Date: 22 April 2026, Wednesday


	Fénix		El Porvenir

	1	X	2
	2.82	2.72	2.52
	2.71	2.72	2.42
	2.89	2.95	2.45	Watch
	2.88	2.75	2.5
	2.9	2.89	2.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↑ (2.53)	2.81 ↑ (2.72)	2.47 ↓ (2.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Fénix
31.6%

Draw
32%

El Porvenir
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

33.4%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9%

33.4%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fénix has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

El Porvenir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting El Porvenir's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fénix than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Porvenir than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for El Porvenir, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Fénix - El Porvenir Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 10).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

El Porvenir - the odds 2.96 are the expected chance of winning is 30.69%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Fénix Buenos Aires
Argentinian Primera C
19.04.26	Fénix - Berazategui	0:1 ✺
11.04.26	Central Ballester - Fénix	4:2 ✺
28.03.26	Deportivo Yupanqui - Fénix	0:0 ✺
23.03.26	Fénix - Puerto Nuevo	0:0 ✺
16.03.26	Sportivo Barracas - Fénix	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LLTTW
- Club El Porvenir
Argentinian Primera C
18.04.26	El Porvenir - Justo José de Urquiza	0:0 ✺
13.04.26	Deportivo Yupanqui - El Porvenir	2:2 ✺
30.03.26	El Porvenir - Sportivo Barracas	2:2 ✺
21.03.26	El Porvenir - Mercedes	1:1 ✺
14.03.26	Club Luján - El Porvenir	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TTTTT

Upcoming Matches