Match Info

LUXEMBOURG: BGL Ligue - Round 11

Date: 27 October 2024, Sunday

Location: Stade Jos Nosbaum (Dudelange)


	F91 Dudelange		Progrès Niedercorn

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.4	2.15
	2.55	3.5	2.35
	2.59	3.64	2.44
	2.59	3.64	2.34	Watch
	2.9	3.6	2
	2.54	3.5	2.32
	2.55	3.5	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↓ (3.12)	3.54 ↓ (3.59)	2.28 ↑ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

F91 Dudelange
34.4%

Draw
25.7%

Progrès Niedercorn
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.7%

25.8%

44.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9%

26.5%

45.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

F91 Dudelange has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Progrès Niedercorn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for F91 Dudelange than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with F91 Dudelange that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Progrès Niedercorn than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Progrès Niedercorn could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

F91 Dudelange - Progrès Niedercorn Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Desprez D. (G) 19. Benkhedim B. 67. Decker V. 3. Delorge K. 6. Freire B. 18. Goncalves M. 23. Hadji S. (C) 24. Kirch M. 7. Rotundo E. 33. Stumpf C. 22. Zrankeon G.	16. Latik E. (G) 73. Ahmetxjekaj A. 17. Bah I. 9. Burban J. 10. Daham S. 23. Duarte C. 31. Jousselin L. 4. Karamoko H. (C) 25. Mixtur K. 20. Natami O. 27. Peugnet V.
Substitutes
80. Altun S. 31. Alves Margato J. (G) 14. Bah I. S. 4. Englaro I. 30. Monteiro D. 99. Pedro Mendes C. 17. Schaus Y.	91. Amofa B. 77. Corral K. 1. Flauss S. (G) 38. Karayer M. 19. Mazure-Hanus A. 14. Sacras C. 70. Sanali S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
36', Kirch M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', 1 - 0, Rotundo E. ⚽, Stumpf C. (A),
52', Benkhedim B. 🟨,
67', Kirch M. 🟨,
71', Rotundo E. ↓, Englaro I. ↑,
71', Ahmetxjekaj A. ↓, Mazure-Hanus A. ↑,
77', Mixtur K. ↓, Corral K. ↑,
80', Stumpf C. 🟨,
83', Natami O. ↓, Sacras C. ↑,
83', Bah I. ↓, Sanali S. ↑,
84', Hadji S. ↓, Schaus Y. ↑,
88', Schaus Y. 🟨,
90', Corral K. 🟨,
90+2', Benkhedim B. ↓, Bah I. S. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 4).

Last 5 head-to-head matches F91 Dudelange won 2.

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Progrès Niedercorn will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 20 head-to-head matches F91 Dudelange won 13 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 40:26 (average 2:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams F91 Dudelange won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 21:16 (average 2.1:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- F91 Dudelange
Luxembourg National Division
20.10.24	Mondorf-les-Bains - F91 Dudelange	2:2 ✺
29.09.24	F91 Dudelange - Hostert	3:0 ✺
25.09.24	F91 Dudelange - Fola Esch	6:1 ✺
21.09.24	UNA Strassen - F91 Dudelange	0:1 ✺
15.09.24	F91 Dudelange - Racing Luxembourg	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TWWWL
- Progrès Niedercorn
Luxembourg National Division
20.10.24	Progrès Niedercorn - Fola Esch	5:2 ✺
29.09.24	UNA Strassen - Progrès Niedercorn	1:1 ✺
21.09.24	Wiltz 71 - Progrès Niedercorn	1:2 ✺
15.09.24	Progrès Niedercorn - Rodange	5:1 ✺
01.09.24	Differdange 03 - Progrès Niedercorn	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Luxembourg National Division
18.05.24	F91 Dudelange - Progrès Niedercorn	0:2
10.12.23	Progrès Niedercorn - F91 Dudelange	1:0
12.02.23	F91 Dudelange - Progrès Niedercorn	1:4
14.08.22	Progrès Niedercorn - F91 Dudelange	2:3
Luxembourg Cup
20.04.22	Progrès Niedercorn - F91 Dudelange	0:2 ET
Luxembourg National Division
05.02.22	F91 Dudelange - Progrès Niedercorn	1:2
14.08.21	Progrès Niedercorn - F91 Dudelange	2:2

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