Match Info

BGL Ligue - Round 26

Date: 26 April 2026, Sunday


	Progrès Niedercorn		Rodange

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.65	4.65
	1.59	3.91	5.17
	1.69	3.85	4.23	Watch
	1.57	3.5	5
	1.62	4	5
	1.67	3.55	4.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.55)	3.74 ↓ (3.8)	4.73 ↓ (4.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Progrès Niedercorn
56.3%

Draw
24.4%

Rodange
19.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.7%

23.5%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6%

24.7%

17.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Progrès Niedercorn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Rodange has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Progrès Niedercorn than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rodange than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Progrès Niedercorn - Rodange Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Alves Margato J. (G) 73. Ahmetxjekaj A. 80. Avdusinovic K. 99. Baradji I. 19. Bouche Y. 23. Duarte C. 11. Gilgemann M. 28. Guett A. 26. Hend B. 75. Hoxha F. 14. Sacras C. (C)	99. Wolf H. (G) 19. Amiri D. 13. Lima Lizardo B. 30. Messuwe M. 21. Montantin Y. (C) 2. Monteiro Lima G. 3. Peprah W. 6. Rakic L. 9. Schur K. 44. Skenderovic A. 16. Torres Y.
Substitutes
17. Camara M. 9. Chambon H. 77. Corral K. 10. Natami O. 50. Ndenge K. (G) 29. Oger M. 27. Peugnet V.	10. Bojic F. 48. Caradonna L. 23. Civovic A. 7. Mendes B. C. 5. Mortas P. 8. Muzhaqi M. 1. Xerxa Cruz K. A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', Baradji I. ↓, Corral K. ↑,
60', Baradji I. ↓, Corral K. ↑,
60', Hoxha F. ↓, Peugnet V. ↑,
60', Schur K. ↓, Bojic F. ↑,
67', 🟨,
75', Messuwe M. ↓, Mendes B. C. ↑,
76', Monteiro Lima G. ↓, Muzhaqi M. ↑,
79', Avdusinovic K. ↓, Chambon H. ↑,
82', Mendes B. C. 🟨,
84', Amiri D. ↓, Civovic A. ↑,
85', Natami O. 🟨,
90+3', Hend B. ↓, Camara M. ↑,
90+5', 1 - 0, Natami O. ⚽, Camara M. (A),

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 and 14 in the zone BGL Ligue (Relegation)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Progrès Niedercorn won 2.

Recent performances by Progrès Niedercorn have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Rodange is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Progrès Niedercorn may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Rodange has had a series of home games.

In this match, Progrès Niedercorn is considered a favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Progrès Niedercorn won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:4. (average 1.8:0.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Progrès Niedercorn won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:3. (average 2:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Niedercorn	8	5	1	2	13:5	8	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Progrès Niedercorn
Luxembourg Cup
22.04.26	Atert Bissen - Progrès Niedercorn	1:2 ✺
Luxembourg National Division
18.04.26	Racing Luxembourg - Progrès Niedercorn	2:2 ✺
12.04.26	Progrès Niedercorn - Mamer	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	Atert Bissen - Progrès Niedercorn	2:0 ✺
22.03.26	Progrès Niedercorn - Käerjéng 97	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WTTLT
- FC Rodange 91
Luxembourg Cup
22.04.26	Fola Esch - Rodange	0:1 ✺
Luxembourg National Division
19.04.26	Rodange - UNA Strassen	5:0 ✺
12.04.26	Rodange - Pétange	0:1 ✺
04.04.26	Rodange - Victoria Rosport	3:1 ✺
22.03.26	Rodange - Swift Hesperange	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.7 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Luxembourg National Division
31.10.25	Rodange - Progrès Niedercorn	0:0
08.03.25	Rodange - Progrès Niedercorn	1:1
15.09.24	Progrès Niedercorn - Rodange	5:1
16.04.22	Progrès Niedercorn - Rodange	1:2
05.11.21	Rodange - Progrès Niedercorn	0:1
24.02.21	Rodange - Progrès Niedercorn	0:2
16.09.19	Progrès Niedercorn - Rodange	1:0

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