Match Info

TOPLYGA - Round 29

Date: 30 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Siauliai central stadium (Šiauliai)

Referee: Simenas D. (Ltu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	FA Šiauliai		Sūduva Marijampolė

	1	X	2
	6.25	4.33	1.39
	6.6	4.25	1.36
	7.9	5.02	1.37
	7.48	4.75	1.38	Watch
	7.8	4.95	1.34
	6.4	4.8	1.42	Watch
	6.6	4.3	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	7 ↑ (4.57)	4.63 ↑ (3.75)	1.37 ↓ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FA Šiauliai
13.1%

Draw
19.9%

Sūduva Marijampolė
67%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.7%

23.9%

56.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19%

23%

58.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FA Šiauliai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that FA Šiauliai's form might have worsened.

Sūduva Marijampolė has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sūduva Marijampolė's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for FA Šiauliai than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for FA Šiauliai, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sūduva Marijampolė than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sūduva Marijampolė, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

FA Šiauliai - Sūduva Marijampolė Predictions

Users Predictions: Sūduva Marijampolė will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
61. Baliutavicius G. (C) 4. Dapkus M. 23. Benny Silva 5. Kersys K. 33. Vukovic L. 6. Hasanovic D. 24. Naah D. 13. Romanovskij D. 14. Zebrauskas K. 41. Gustas K. 19. Ikaunieks D.	31. Plukas I. (G) 75. Stockunas E. 23. Grigalava R. 5. Baltrunas Z. 4. Uzochukwu H. 6. Sabo A. 8. Lawson S. (C) 19. Tangiri F. 94. Sanokho S. M. 7. Seck I. 14. Steponavicius F.
Substitutes
8. Baftalovskyi A. 50. Bierontas E. 29. Dovydaitis D. 51. Gestautas G. 32. Micevicius G. 1. Sivickas V. (G) 30. Vaitiekaitis U. 11. Valuckas A.	26. Antanavicius D. 11. Chajia M. 9. Lucky T. 13. Mikulenas M. 18. Milasius T. 66. Pacesa R. (G) 16. Tsykalo Y. 12. Zenkevicius G. (G) 15. Zivanovic A.
Coaches
Lastauskas D.	Vencevicius D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
38', 0 - 1, Lawson S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', Gustas K. ↓, Baftalovskyi A. ↑,
57', 1 - 1, Vukovic L. ⚽,
73', 1 - 2, Chajia M. ⚽,
77', 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, FA Šiauliai won 2.

Recent form of FA Šiauliai has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Sūduva is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, Sūduva is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, FA Šiauliai won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 25:20. (average 1.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, FA Šiauliai won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 18:9. (average 2:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Suduva	28	13	11	4	39:25	14	50
9	FA Siauliai	29	3	8	18	24:58	-34	17

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FA Šiauliai
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
24.08.26	Transinvest - FA Šiauliai	3:0 ✺
17.08.26	FA Šiauliai - Panevėžys	1:0 ✺
09.08.26	FA Šiauliai - Džiugas Telšiai	3:4 ✺
03.08.26	FA Šiauliai - Banga Gargždai	1:3 ✺
18.07.26	Kauno Žalgiris - FA Šiauliai	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWLLL
- Sūduva Marijampolė
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
23.08.26	Sūduva Marijampolė - Panevėžys	2:0 ✺
17.08.26	Džiugas Telšiai - Sūduva Marijampolė	0:2 ✺
09.08.26	Banga Gargždai - Sūduva Marijampolė	1:3 ✺
20.07.26	Sūduva Marijampolė - Hegelmann Litauen	5:1 ✺
06.07.26	Sūduva Marijampolė - Transinvest	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian TOPLYGA
16.06.26	Sūduva Marijampolė - FA Šiauliai	2:1
02.05.26	FA Šiauliai - Sūduva Marijampolė	2:1
01.03.26	Sūduva Marijampolė - FA Šiauliai	0:0
02.11.25	Sūduva Marijampolė - FA Šiauliai	2:2
25.08.25	FA Šiauliai - Sūduva Marijampolė	2:1
25.06.25	FA Šiauliai - Sūduva Marijampolė	2:2
19.04.25	Sūduva Marijampolė - FA Šiauliai	1:1

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