Match Info

Torneo Federal - Promotion - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday

Location: Predio de FADEP (Mendoza)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	FADEP		Atenas Río Cuarto

	1	X	2
	2.10	2.65	3.75
	2.12	2.62	3.65	Watch
	2.17	2.66	3.63
	2.15	2.76	3.86	Watch
	2.14	2.6	3.55
	2.2	2.93	3.66
	2.1	2.7	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (1.84)	2.7 ↓ (3)	3.66 ↓ (4.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FADEP
42.1%

Draw
33.3%

Atenas Río Cuarto
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

30.6%

19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9%

29.9%

19.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FADEP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that FADEP's form might have worsened.

Atenas Río Cuarto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for FADEP than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for FADEP, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atenas Río Cuarto than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atenas Río Cuarto, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

FADEP - Atenas Río Cuarto Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Aracena C. (G) 4. Ali N. 2. Iribarren N. 5. Lopez L. R. 3. Perez F. 8. Perez I. 9. Persia M. 7. Soria L. 6. Sosa B. 11. Taboada L. 10. Tonetto D.	1. Perez F. (G) 2. Arcando A. (C) 5. Castro I. 3. Duco V. 4. Guzman G. 9. Oballes P. 10. Quiroga F. 11. Rivadero M. 8. Rosales M. 6. Suarez A. 7. Vera M.
Substitutes
16. Bonacorso E. 20. Cuello B. 15. Kalinski E. 19. Klusener G. 17. Mendez J. 18. Navarro M. 12. Rivadeneira F. (G) 13. Satti T. 14. Zabaleta B.	15. Bergalli N. 14. Castro N. 12. Herrera F. 18. Lopez G. 16. Mainero A. 13. Mansilla M. 17. Martinez M. 19. Pagliaricci T. 20. Schiavoni F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Persia M. ⚽,
28', Iribarren N. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', Duco V. 🟨,
58', Vera M. ↓, Mainero A. ↑,
60', 2 - 0, Persia M. ⚽,
72', 🟨,
83', 🟨,
89', 🟨,
89', Perez F. 🟥,

Preview

First leg.

FADEP has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Atenas Río Cuarto has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

FADEP could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Bookmakers give the edge to FADEP for this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, FADEP has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 7:1 (averaging 3.5:0.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for FADEP against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 4:0 goals.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fundación Amigos Por El Deporte
Argentinian Torneo Federal
13.09.26	FADEP - Deportivo Rincón	1:0 ✺
06.09.26	FADEP - Germinal	1:1 ✺
29.08.26	San Martín de Mendoza - FADEP	0:2 ✺
23.08.26	FADEP - Sol de Mayo	2:0 ✺
17.08.26	Santamarina de Tandil - FADEP	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WTWWL
- Atenas Río Cuarto
Argentinian Torneo Federal
04.10.26	General San Martín de Formosa - Atenas Río Cuarto	1:1 ✺
27.09.26	Atenas Río Cuarto - General San Martín de Formosa	0:1 ✺
20.09.26	Huracán Las Heras - Atenas Río Cuarto	1:0 ✺
13.09.26	Atenas Río Cuarto - Juventud Antoniana	3:1 ✺
06.09.26	Alvarado - Atenas Río Cuarto	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
05.07.26	Atenas Río Cuarto - FADEP	1:3
03.05.26	FADEP - Atenas Río Cuarto	4:0

FADEP - Atenas Río Cuarto: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide