Match Info

Torneo Federal - Losers stage - Round 6

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio General Jose de San Martin (San Martin)


	San Martín de Mendoza		FADEP

	1	X	2
	1.80	2.95	4.33
	1.85	2.92	4.2
	1.78	3.04	4.48
	1.83	3.14	4.51	Watch
	1.76	3	4.4
	1.81	3	4.66
	2.15	3	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (2.13)	3.01 ↑ (2.9)	4.3 ↑ (3.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Martín de Mendoza
48.8%

Draw
30.1%

FADEP
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

31.1%

26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

30.5%

26%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Martín de Mendoza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in San Martín de Mendoza's performance.

FADEP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and FADEP might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Martín de Mendoza than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with San Martín de Mendoza that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for FADEP than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

San Martín de Mendoza - FADEP Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rodriguez L. G. (G) 10. Herensperger R. 8. Leon J. 6. Maidana M. 11. Mazzolo J. 4. Mercado V. 5. Paz I. 9. Rivarola F. 7. Saucedo F. 2. Velazquez P. 3. Zapata M.	1. Aracena C. (G) 4. Ali N. 2. Iribarren N. 5. Lopez L. R. 3. Perez F. 7. Perez I. 9. Persia M. 10. Soria L. 6. Sosa B. 11. Taboada L. 8. Tonetto D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
23', 0 - 1, ⚽,
26', 🟨,
34', 🟨,
36', 🟨,
43', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', 🟨,

Preview

SM de Mendoza is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

FADEP's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, SM de Mendoza has had a series of home games.

SM de Mendoza is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, SM de Mendoza won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, SM de Mendoza won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Martín de Mendoza
Argentinian Torneo Federal
23.08.26	Germinal - San Martín de Mendoza	0:0 ✺
16.08.26	San Martín de Mendoza - Deportivo Rincón	1:0 ✺
12.08.26	San Martín de Mendoza - Sol de Mayo	2:1 ✺
02.08.26	San Martín de Mendoza - Costa Brava	2:2 ✺
26.07.26	San Martín de Mendoza - Argentino Monte Maíz	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TWWTT
- Fundación Amigos Por El Deporte
Argentinian Torneo Federal
23.08.26	FADEP - Sol de Mayo	2:0 ✺
17.08.26	Santamarina de Tandil - FADEP	2:0 ✺
12.08.26	FADEP - Costa Brava	0:0 ✺
08.08.26	Juventud Unida Universitario - FADEP	1:0 ✺
02.08.26	FADEP - Círculo Deportivo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
12.07.26	FADEP - San Martín de Mendoza	0:0
10.05.26	San Martín de Mendoza - FADEP	1:1

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