Match Info

Torneo Federal - Winners stage - Round 7

Date: 6 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio José María Minella (Mar del Plata)


	Alvarado		Atenas Río Cuarto

	1	X	2
	1.41	3.75	7.25
	1.40	3.65	7.40
	1.42	3.58	7.74
	1.48	3.55	7.74	Watch
	1.37	3.70	7.75
	1.40	3.94	9.85
	1.40	3.75	6.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.67)	3.7 ↑ (3.2)	7.78 ↑ (5.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alvarado
64%

Draw
24.4%

Atenas Río Cuarto
11.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.9%

28.6%

16.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.8%

27.6%

15.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alvarado has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alvarado's performance.

Atenas Río Cuarto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alvarado than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alvarado that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atenas Río Cuarto than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Alvarado - Atenas Río Cuarto Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bilbao E. (G) 11. Castellano A. 2. Centurion F. 4. Chiozza L. 5. Federico T. 6. Fernandez T. 3. Gorgerino C. 10. Gutierrez S. 8. Mansilla M. 7. Miori M. 9. Sosa G.	1. Perez F. (G) 2. Arcando A. 5. Castro I. 3. Duco V. 9. Mainero A. 6. Mansilla M. 10. Quiroga F. 11. Rivadero M. 8. Rosales M. 4. Suarez A. 7. Vera M.
Substitutes
13. Berra T. 19. Cervera G. 15. Hofstetter P. J. 16. Makarte R. 20. Melean A. 14. Nunez L. 18. Perez M. 17. Pinoni F. 12. Zapata A. (G)	14. Barrera J. 18. Bergalli N. 19. Castro N. 17. Gomez E. 12. Ledesma M. (G) 15. Martinez M. 20. Oballes P. 13. Pagliaricci T. 16. Schiavoni F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
38', 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 2)
51', 0 - 1, Arcando A. ⚽,
68', 1 - 1, Cervera G. ⚽,
73', 🟨,
81', 2 - 1, Makarte R. ⚽,
82', 🟨,
88', 🟨,
88', 2 - 2, Bergalli N. ⚽,
90+1', 🟨,
90+2', 3 - 2, Perez M. ⚽,
90+4', 🟥,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Play Offs: )).

Alvarado is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Atenas Río Cuarto has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Alvarado has had a series of away games.

Recently, Atenas Río Cuarto has had a series of home games.

In this match, Alvarado is the team to beat.

We predict that Alvarado will win today's game, with odds of 1.65.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Alvarado
Argentinian Torneo Federal
30.08.26	Kimberley de Mar del Plata - Alvarado	0:2 ✺
16.08.26	Villa Mitre - Alvarado	0:0 ✺
12.08.26	Alvarado - Huracán Las Heras	1:0 ✺
07.08.26	Juventud Antoniana - Alvarado	0:2 ✺
11.07.26	Santamarina de Tandil - Alvarado	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 WTWWT
- Atenas Río Cuarto
Argentinian Torneo Federal
30.08.26	Atenas Río Cuarto - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	1:0 ✺
12.08.26	Atenas Río Cuarto - Kimberley de Mar del Plata	2:1 ✺
02.08.26	Atenas Río Cuarto - Villa Mitre	0:1 ✺
26.07.26	Atenas Río Cuarto - Juventud Unida Universitario	0:0 ✺
12.07.26	Argentino Monte Maíz - Atenas Río Cuarto	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWLTT

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