The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
General San Martín de Formosa 56.2%
Draw 27.6%
Atenas Río Cuarto 16.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57.1%
25.4%
17.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.2%
24.9%
17.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
General San Martín de Formosa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
Atenas Río Cuarto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for General San Martín de Formosa than the current prediction. (+2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atenas Río Cuarto than the current prediction. (+1%)
General San Martín de Formosa - Atenas Río Cuarto Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Humeler K. (G) 11. Alegre G. 5. Bobadilla M. 7. Ceratto L. 4. Finardi B. 3. Griego A. 6. Leiva D. 10. Nunez G. 2. Piris O. 9. Siergiejuk M. 8. Tapia R.
1. Perez F. (G) 2. Arcando A. 5. Castro I. 11. Castro N. 3. Duco V. 4. Guzman G. 9. Mainero A. 10. Quiroga F. 8. Rosales M. 6. Suarez A. 7. Vera M.
Substitutes
19. Aquino A. 17. Cuevas E. 15. Illanes Machuca F. 14. Leguizamon M. 20. Lopez A. 12. Morichi P. (G) 18. Peralta B. 16. Riquelme R. 13. Sanchez L.
14. Barrera J. 18. Gomez E. 20. Haseney D. 12. Ledesma M. (G) 15. Martinez M. 19. Oballes P. 13. Pagliaricci T. 16. Rivadero M. 17. Schiavoni F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
5', 🟨,
34', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
65', 0 - 1, Castro N. ⚽,
67', 🟨,
67', 1 - 1, Siergiejuk M. ⚽,
89', 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,
Preview
First leg result: 1-0.
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1st in the Promotion - Torneo Federal Playoffs and 4th in the Promotion - Torneo Federal Playoffs).
San Martín Formosa has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Atenas Río Cuarto has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
San Martín Formosa holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, San Martín Formosa has recorded 4 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 7:1 (averaging 1.8:0.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for San Martín Formosa against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 5:1 goals (averaging 2.5:0.5 per game).