Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 33

Date: 20 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadi Nacional (Andorra la Vella)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	FC Andorra		Gimnástica Segoviana

	1	X	2
	1.3	4.1	9
	1.32	4.5	7.75
	1.32	4.9	8.6
	1.3	5.42	11.14
	1.29	4.89	9.36
	1.3	5	9.1
	1.32	4.9	8.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.51)	4.82 ↑ (3.33)	9.08 ↑ (7.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FC Andorra
70.7%

Draw
19.2%

Gimnástica Segoviana
10.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.2%

27.3%

12.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.5%

26.7%

12.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FC Andorra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in FC Andorra's performance.

Gimnástica Segoviana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for FC Andorra than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with FC Andorra that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnástica Segoviana than the current prediction. (+2%)

FC Andorra - Gimnástica Segoviana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ratti N. (C) 17. Clemente J. 23. Alende D. 18. Bombardo Poyato M. 27. Rodriguez I. 10. Alvaro 12. Villahermosa D. 14. Molina S. 19. Almpanis C. 9. Nieto M. 11. Lauti	44. Oliva H. (G) 26. Marcos H. 3. Molina S. 5. Pascual A. 17. Chupo 14. Llorente F. 22. De La Mata J. 23. Ferreiroa F. 7. Berlanga M. 19. Farrell J. 20. Tellechea I.
Substitutes
26. Achhiba B. 32. Blanco P. 3. Busquets O. 24. Casadesus P. 21. Cerda J. 5. Morgado C. 13. Oier (G) 16. Pena A. 15. Redondo L. 4. Trigueros P. 20. Vila M.	11. Astray P. 10. Borrego J. 1. Carmona P. (G) 18. Cespedes M. 8. Diaz H. 9. Gomez D. 4. Lopez D. 32. Maroto A. 6. Olmedilla M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
16', 1 - 0, Lauti ⚽,
19', Tellechea I. 🟨,
29', Molina S. 🟨,
43', 1 - 1, Farrell J. ⚽,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
52', Marcos H. 🟨,
53', 2 - 1, Nieto M. (Pen),
57', 3 - 1, Nieto M. ⚽,
62', Villahermosa D. ↓, Pena A. ↑,
62', Olmedilla M. ↓, Astray P. ↑,
62', Marcos H. ↓, Gomez D. ↑,
68', 4 - 1, Lauti ⚽,
70', 5 - 1, Nieto M. ⚽,
73', Ferreiroa F. ↓, Diaz H. ↑,
73', Tellechea I. ↓, Borrego J. ↑,
75', Molina S. ↓, Busquets O. ↑,
75', Lauti ↓, Redondo L. ↑,
75', Berlanga M. ↓, Maroto A. ↑,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Andorra is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Andorra won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Andorra
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
13.04.25	Real Sociedad B - FC Andorra	2:1 ✺
06.04.25	FC Andorra - Tarazona	1:0 ✺
28.03.25	Real Unión de Irun - FC Andorra	0:0 ✺
23.03.25	FC Andorra - Arenteiro	1:1 ✺
16.03.25	Amorebieta - FC Andorra	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWTTT
- Gimnástica Segoviana
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
13.04.25	Gimnástica Segoviana - Celta de Vigo B	1:3 ✺
06.04.25	Lugo - Gimnástica Segoviana	0:1 ✺
30.03.25	Gimnástica Segoviana - Amorebieta	1:1 ✺
23.03.25	Unionistas de Salamanca - Gimnástica Segoviana	0:0 ✺
16.03.25	Gimnástica Segoviana - Leonesa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.4 LWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
01.12.24	Gimnástica Segoviana - FC Andorra	3:2

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