Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 28

Date: 16 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Campo Municipal de Urritxe (Amorebieta-Etxano)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Amorebieta		FC Andorra

	1	X	2
	3.2	2.9	2.2
	3.1	3.2	2.05
	3.15	3.05	2.3
	3.34	3.21	2.13
	3.25	2.97	2.26	Watch
	3.19	3.08	2.25
	3.15	3.05	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.2 ↑ (3.06)	3.07 ↓ (3.19)	2.21 ↓ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Amorebieta
28.7%

Draw
29.9%

FC Andorra
41.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30%

28.9%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.5%

27.5%

43.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amorebieta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

FC Andorra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amorebieta than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for FC Andorra than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Amorebieta - FC Andorra Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Marino U. (G) 17. Munoz I. 22. Yuste A. 5. Amelibia J. 4. Kortazar M. 3. Camacho S. 16. Masllorens J. 12. Sola J. 11. Hervias P. 21. Marin A. 7. Selma D.	1. Ratti N. (G) 24. Casadesus P. 23. Alende D. 18. Bombardo Poyato M. 27. Rodriguez I. 16. Pena A. 14. Molina S. 12. Villahermosa D. 7. Fuentes J. 11. Lauti 9. Nieto M.
Substitutes
10. Berto 19. Bravo Fernandez M. 23. Calavera J. 2. Carbonell A. 20. Coto E. 18. Coulibaly A. 9. Kaxe 25. Montoya J. (G) 24. Perez E. 8. Vicandi A.	26. Achhiba B. 19. Almpanis C. 10. Alvaro 32. Blanco P. 3. Busquets O. 8. Moran E. 13. Oier (G) 15. Redondo L. 4. Trigueros P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Marin A. ⚽,
11', Pena A. 🟨,
22', Nieto M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Pena A. ↓, Almpanis C. ↑,
46', Rodriguez I. ↓, Moran E. ↑,
46', Casadesus P. ↓, Trigueros P. ↑,
46', Hervias P. ↓, Carbonell A. ↑,
68', Marin A. ↓, Perez E. ↑,
74', 1 - 1, Moran E. ⚽,
74', Lauti ↓, Alvaro ↑,
77', 🟨,
78', Munoz I. ↓, Kaxe ↑,
78', Selma D. ↓, Vicandi A. ↑,
87', Moran E. 🟨,
90', Sola J. ↓, Coulibaly A. ↑,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 6).

Recent matches Amorebieta is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Andorra is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Amorebieta could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Andorra will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Amorebieta won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:2 (average 1.3:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Amorebieta won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Amorebieta
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
08.03.25	Unionistas de Salamanca - Amorebieta	1:0 ✺
01.03.25	Amorebieta - Real Unión de Irun	1:0 ✺
22.02.25	Sestao - Amorebieta	1:0 ✺
16.02.25	Amorebieta - Ponferradina	3:1 ✺
09.02.25	Leonesa - Amorebieta	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 LWLWL
- FC Andorra
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
09.03.25	FC Andorra - Celta de Vigo B	2:0 ✺
02.03.25	Unionistas de Salamanca - FC Andorra	3:1 ✺
23.02.25	FC Andorra - Zamora	2:1 ✺
15.02.25	Barakaldo - FC Andorra	2:3 ✺
09.02.25	FC Andorra - Lugo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
22.12.24	FC Andorra - Amorebieta	2:0
Spanish LaLiga2
18.03.24	FC Andorra - Amorebieta	0:1
27.08.23	Amorebieta - FC Andorra	3:0

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