Match Info

Paranaense - Round 5

Date: 21 January 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estádio Couto Pereira (Curitiba)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Canal GOAT


	Coritiba		São-Joseense

	1	X	2
	1.3	4	8.5
	1.32	4.33	8.25
	1.33	4.55	9.2
	1.32	4.38	11.66
	1.33	3.9	10
	1.31	4.1	10.5	Watch
	1.32	4.5	10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.36)	4.25 ↑ (4.04)	9.73 ↑ (9.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Coritiba
69.2%

Draw
21.5%

São-Joseense
9.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.4%

22.6%

10%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Coritiba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

São-Joseense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Coritiba - São Joseense Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pedro Morisco (G) 26. Bruno Melo 19. Gomez S. (C) 10. Josue 7. Lavega J. 11. Lucas Ronier 3. Maicon 32. Pedro Rocha 23. Tiago Coser 2. Tinga 29. Willian Oliveira	1. Diego Monteiro (G) 3. Caio Cesar 8. Dener 5. Felipe Vieira 10. Joao Mafra 14. Juninho 11. Lucas Gaucho 22. Murillo Lima 30. Niltinho 77. Pedrinho 4. Rodolfo Filemon
Substitutes
14. Enzo Vagner 28. Fabinho 22. Felipe Guimaraes 88. Fernando Sobral 39. Gustavo 55. Jacy 17. Jean Gabriel 16. Joao Almeida 12. Pedro Rangel (G) 21. Thiago Santos 36. Vini Paulista 8. Wallisson	29. Barbosa 27. Brian 9. Danilo Mariotto 19. Elias Carioca 6. Julio Rusch 2. Lucas Bauru 49. Pedro Brito 33. Raphael Carvalho 12. Samuel Deuner (G) 21. Thiaguinho 7. Vinicius 17. Wellington Nunes

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Niltinho ↓, Vinicius ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', 0 - 1, Lucas Gaucho ⚽,
57', Murillo Lima 🟨,
64', Tiago Coser 🟨,
64', Willian Oliveira ↓, Fernando Sobral ↑,
72', Lucas Gaucho ↓, Wellington Nunes ↑,
72', Juninho ↓, Julio Rusch ↑,
76', Tiago Coser ↓, Joao Almeida ↑,
86', Gomez S. ↓, Jean Gabriel ↑,
86', Lavega J. ↓, Fabinho ↑,
90', Murillo Lima ↓, Raphael Carvalho ↑,
90', Joao Mafra ↓, Brian ↑,
90+2', Pedrinho 🟨,

Preview

Coritiba is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Coritiba may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Coritiba is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Coritiba won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 1.5:0.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Coritiba won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0. (average 1.7:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Coritiba
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
17.01.26	Athletico Paranaense - Coritiba	0:1 ✺
13.01.26	Maringá - Coritiba	0:1 ✺
10.01.26	Coritiba - Londrina	2:2 ✺
07.01.26	Coritiba - Foz do Iguaçu	2:3 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
23.11.25	Amazonas - Coritiba	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 WWTLW
- Independente Futebol São-Joseense
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
18.01.26	São-Joseense - Operário Ferroviario	1:0 ✺
15.01.26	São-Joseense - Cianorte	0:0 ✺
11.01.26	Andraus - São-Joseense	2:0 ✺
06.01.26	São-Joseense - Galo Maringá	2:0 ✺
09.03.25	Operário Ferroviario - São-Joseense	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
15.01.25	Coritiba - São-Joseense	3:0
22.01.24	Coritiba - São-Joseense	2:0
12.02.23	Coritiba - São-Joseense	0:0
05.02.22	São-Joseense - Coritiba	1:1

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