Match Info

BRAZIL: Paranaense - Round 11

Date: 15 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Estádio Olímpico Regional Jacy Miguel Scanagatta (Cascavel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, NSports, Sky+, Vivo Play
Usa	Fanatiz


	FC Cascavel		Rio Branco PR

	1	X	2
	1.48	3.9	7
	1.47	3.75	6.6
	1.46	3.79	7.36
	1.47	3.75	7.07
	1.44	3.5	7.5
	1.41	3.88	7.6
	1.47	3.75	6.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↑ (1.41)	3.76 ↓ (3.93)	7.1 ↓ (7.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FC Cascavel
62.8%

Draw
24.3%

Rio Branco PR
12.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.2%

23.1%

12.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3%

13.8%

21.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FC Cascavel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Rio Branco PR has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for FC Cascavel than the current prediction. (-24.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with FC Cascavel that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Branco PR than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rio Branco PR could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

FC Cascavel - Rio Branco PR Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jean Carlos (G) 5. Geovane 7. Joao Pedro 11. Josiel 14. Lucas Serafini 3. Miguel Alcantara 4. Nikollas Sena 6. Paulo Victor 20. Robinho (C) 29. Rodrigo Alves 19. Thiago Lopes	1. Filipe Santos (G) 2. Andrade V. 5. Berg 6. Biro Biro 11. Bryam 9. Caio Vieira 10. Elvis 4. Fernando Brito 8. Ferreira (C) 3. Gabriel Vidal 7. Ze Andrade
Substitutes
28. Bruno Dip 15. Diego Cardoso 10. Felipe Martins 23. Flavio 25. Guilherme Vieira 32. Juninho 2. Libano 17. Lucas Belem 21. Peu 9. Schutz 34. Taison 12. Thiago Goncalves (G)	19. Adekunle Ibrahim A. 20. Caio Cunha 99. Dhiordan 15. Gabriel Mello 22. Gilberto 16. Jefferson Recife 12. Lucas Bergantin (G) 25. Luis Saldias 13. Regis 17. Suarez N. 33. Tiago Brito 18. Vanderlei

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
16', 1 - 0, Josiel ⚽,
18', 1 - 1, Caio Vieira ⚽,
40', Ferreira 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Joao Pedro ↓, Lucas Belem ↑,
49', 1 - 2, Berg ⚽,
53', Thiago Lopes ↓, Juninho ↑,
57', Elvis ↓, Vanderlei ↑,
60', 🟨,
60', Nikollas Sena ↓, Felipe Martins ↑,
62', Miguel Alcantara 🟨,
65', Andrade V. ↓, Gabriel Mello ↑,
66', 🟨,
70', Caio Vieira ↓, Suarez N. ↑,
70', 1 - 3, Suarez N. ⚽,
73', Paulo Victor ↓, Schutz ↑,
87', 🟨,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Paranaense (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 11 in the zone Relegation ~ Paranaense 2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches FC Cascavel won 4.

Recent matches FC Cascavel is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Rio Branco PR has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match FC Cascavel is certain favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches FC Cascavel won 8 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 23:8 (average 1.9:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams FC Cascavel won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12:4 (average 1.7:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Cascavel
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
12.02.25	Athletico Paranaense - FC Cascavel	0:0 ✺
08.02.25	Operário Ferroviario - FC Cascavel	2:0 ✺
05.02.25	FC Cascavel - Andraus	0:2 ✺
01.02.25	FC Cascavel - Maringá	2:0 ✺
29.01.25	Paraná Clube Curitiba - FC Cascavel	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 TLLWT
- Rio Branco PR
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
12.02.25	São-Joseense - Rio Branco PR	2:0 ✺
09.02.25	Rio Branco PR - Londrina	1:1 ✺
05.02.25	Coritiba - Rio Branco PR	4:0 ✺
01.02.25	Rio Branco PR - Paraná Clube Curitiba	0:1 ✺
29.01.25	Maringá - Rio Branco PR	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
28.01.23	Rio Branco PR - FC Cascavel	0:1
22.01.22	FC Cascavel - Rio Branco PR	Cascavel awarded
Brazilian Serie D
24.07.21	FC Cascavel - Rio Branco PR	3:1
18.07.21	Rio Branco PR - FC Cascavel	1:4
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
12.05.21	FC Cascavel - Rio Branco PR	0:0
22.07.20	FC Cascavel - Rio Branco PR	5:0
18.07.20	Rio Branco PR - FC Cascavel	0:3

FC Cascavel - Rio Branco PR: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide