The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Athletico Paranaense 71.6%
Draw 19.8%
FC Cascavel 8.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
61.8%
25.2%
12.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
62.6%
24.9%
12.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Athletico Paranaense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Athletico Paranaense's performance.
FC Cascavel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (-9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Athletico Paranaense that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for FC Cascavel than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
Athletico Paranaense - FC Cascavel Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Mycael (G) 27. Alan Kardec (C) 2. Dudu 5. Felipinho 6. Fernando 11. Isaac 57. Joao Cruz 3. Leo 22. Matheus Felipe 31. Raul 7. Velasco K.
1. Jean Carlos (G) 8. Alex Paulino 10. Felipe Martins 5. Geovane 11. Josiel 17. Lucas Belem 14. Lucas Serafini 6. Paulo Victor 20. Robinho (C) 29. Rodrigo Alves 19. Thiago Lopes
Substitutes
32. Arriagada L. 45. Belezi 98. Falcao 15. Gamarra M. 8. Giuliano 9. Gonzalo Mastriani 29. Juninho 21. Leozinho 46. Marcao 18. Palacios H. 23. Santos (G) 77. Santos Kayke
28. Bruno Dip 15. Diego Cardoso 7. Joao Pedro 32. Juninho 2. Libano 3. Miguel Alcantara 4. Nikollas Sena 16. Pedro Pecanha 9. Schutz 34. Taison 12. Thiago Goncalves (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Joao Cruz 🟨,
27', Geovane 🟨,
29', Alan Kardec (Pen),
40', Josiel 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Alan Kardec ↓, Gonzalo Mastriani ↑,
46', Lucas Belem ↓, Taison ↑,
46', Lucas Serafini ↓, Libano ↑,
69', Joao Cruz ↓, Giuliano ↑,
69', Velasco K. ↓, Leozinho ↑,
72', Alex Paulino 🟨,
73', Felipe Martins ↓, Juninho ↑,
78', Isaac ↓, Arriagada L. ↑,
78', Felipinho ↓, Falcao ↑,
86', Taison 🟨,
88', Robinho ↓, Nikollas Sena ↑,
90', Rodrigo Alves ↓, Pedro Pecanha ↑,
Preview
One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Paranaense (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Paranaense (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
Athletico PR is Qualified for Paranaense (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Athletico PR won 4.
Athletico PR is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches FC Cascavel is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Athletico PR could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Athletico PR is certain favorite.
Our prediction for today's Athletico PR to win the game is with odds 1.45.
Last 14 head-to-head matches Athletico PR won 7 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 23:12 (average 1.6:0.9).
Including matches at home between the teams Athletico PR won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 12:2 (average 2:0.3).
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Mycael (G) 
Velasco K. 
Arriagada L. 
Gamarra M. 
Gonzalo Mastriani 
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