Match Info

BRAZIL: Paranaense - Round 8

Date: 5 February 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estádio Couto Pereira (Curitiba)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, NSports, Sky+, Vivo Play
Usa	Fanatiz


	Coritiba		Rio Branco PR

	1	X	2
	1.27	4.75	9.5
	1.33	4.33	8
	1.34	4.4	8
	1.28	5.11	11.12
	1.29	4.77	9.85	Watch
	1.3	4.4	10
	1.37	4.57	8.43	Watch
	1.33	4.4	8.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↑ (1.25)	4.59 ↓ (5.21)	9.14 ↓ (9.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Coritiba
69.9%

Draw
20%

Rio Branco PR
10.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

73%

17.5%

9.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Coritiba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Rio Branco PR has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Coritiba - Rio Branco PR Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pedro Morisco (G) 49. Dellatorre 37. Everaldo 5. Geovane 19. Gomez S. 16. Joao Vitor 10. Josue 11. Lucas Ronier 13. Rafinha (C) 4. Rodrigo Moledo 14. Thalisson	1. Filipe Santos (G) 8. Andrade V. 6. Biro Biro 11. Bryam 99. Cristaldo J. E. 7. Elvis 5. Ferreira 3. Gabriel Vidal 21. Luis Saldias 4. Nailson (C) 2. Radeche
Substitutes
67. Benassi (G) 33. Caio Matheus 22. Felipe Guimaraes 8. Filipe Machado 2. Fracchia M. 38. Geovane Meurer 43. Jhonny 9. Junior Brumado 18. Matheus Bianqui 6. Rodrigo Gelado 97. Ruan Assis 50. Tissi	19. Adekunle Ibrahim A. 20. Caio Cunha 9. Caio Vieira 13. Fernando Brito 25. Gabriel Almeida 15. Gabriel Mello 16. Jefferson Recife 12. Lucas Bergantin (G) 17. Suarez N. 18. Ze Andrade

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Dellatorre ⚽,
36', 2 - 0, Josue ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Ferreira ↓, Ze Andrade ↑,
55', Cristaldo J. E. ↓, Caio Vieira ↑,
55', Luis Saldias ↓, Jefferson Recife ↑,
64', Geovane ↓, Filipe Machado ↑,
64', Everaldo ↓, Caio Matheus ↑,
67', Josue 🟨,
68', Nailson ↓, Fernando Brito ↑,
69', 3 - 0, Dellatorre ⚽,
70', Dellatorre ↓, Junior Brumado ↑,
70', Rodrigo Moledo ↓, Fracchia M. ↑,
73', 4 - 0, Junior Brumado ⚽,
77', Josue ↓, Matheus Bianqui ↑,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Paranaense (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Coritiba won 2.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Coritiba could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Coritiba is indisputable favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Coritiba won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 15:9 (average 1.7:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Coritiba won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 14:7 (average 1.8:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Coritiba
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
02.02.25	Cianorte - Coritiba	4:1 ✺
30.01.25	Coritiba - Andraus	4:0 ✺
25.01.25	Coritiba - Athletico Paranaense	0:0 ✺
22.01.25	Maringá - Coritiba	0:2 ✺
19.01.25	FC Cascavel - Coritiba	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LWTWL
- Rio Branco PR
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
01.02.25	Rio Branco PR - Paraná Clube Curitiba	0:1 ✺
29.01.25	Maringá - Rio Branco PR	4:0 ✺
25.01.25	Rio Branco PR - Cianorte	2:0 ✺
22.01.25	Rio Branco PR - Andraus	3:0 ✺
19.01.25	Operário Ferroviario - Rio Branco PR	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
22.01.23	Coritiba - Rio Branco PR	1:0
02.02.22	Coritiba - Rio Branco PR	2:0
15.05.21	Rio Branco PR - Coritiba	2:1
23.01.20	Coritiba - Rio Branco PR	1:1
24.03.19	Coritiba - Rio Branco PR	1:1
25.02.18	Coritiba - Rio Branco PR	3:0
25.01.18	Coritiba - Rio Branco PR	1:1

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