Match Info
Date: 13 June 2021, Sunday
|
 |
|
 |
|
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FC Messina |
|
Castrovillari |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.45 |
3.6 |
7 |
|
 |
1.44 |
3.9 |
6.2 |
|
 |
1.48 |
3.4 |
6.67 |
|
 |
1.39 |
4.3 |
7.4 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.44 ↑
(1.38) |
3.8 ↓
(4.16) |
6.82 ↓
(6.99) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
FC Messina
62.9% | Draw
23.8% | Castrovillari
13.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
FC Messina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)Castrovillari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for FC Messina than the current prediction. (-25.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with FC Messina that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castrovillari than the current prediction. (+9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Castrovillari could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats. 
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Preview
During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group A and 10). FC Messina is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3). Castrovillari is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4). In this match FC Messina is indisputable favorite. In this match FC Messina is absolute favorite.
Last 4 head-to-head matches FC Messina won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-7. Including matches at home between the teams FC Messina won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Italian Serie D - Group I | | | 03.02.21 | Castrovillari - FC Messina | 1:1 | | 10.11.19 | FC Messina - Castrovillari | 0:2 | | 05.05.19 | FC Messina - Castrovillari | 2:1 | | 23.12.18 | Castrovillari - FC Messina | 3:0 |
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