The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Acireale 62.9%
Draw 22.5%
Castrovillari 14.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
62.8%
22.6%
14.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.6%
19.6%
16.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Acireale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
The chances for Castrovillari have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Acireale than the current prediction. (-8.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Acireale that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castrovillari than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
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Preview
In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 12 and 18 in the zone Relegation).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Acireale won 1.
Recent matches Acireale is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Castrovillari is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Castrovillari could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Acireale is absolute favorite.
Last 10 head-to-head matches Acireale won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 16-10.
Including matches at home between the teams Acireale won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-6.
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