Match Info
Esiliiga - Round 28Date: 10 September 2026, ThursdayLocation: Lasnamäe Sports Complex Stadium (Tallinn)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Usa | SportsEngine Play |
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FC Tallinn |
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Maardu Linnameeskond |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 Watch |
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3.30 |
3.90 |
1.77 |
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2.75 |
3.70 |
2.00 |
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3.05 |
4.26 |
1.85 |
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2.86 |
4.18 |
1.99 |
Watch |
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3.05 |
4.25 |
1.76 |
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3.51 |
4.33 |
1.81 |
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3.30 |
3.90 |
1.79 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.12 ↑
(2.77) |
4.07 ↑
(3.9) |
1.85 ↓
(2.03) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
- The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
FC Tallinn
29% | Draw
22.2% | Maardu Linnameeskond
48.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
FC Tallinn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)Maardu Linnameeskond has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for FC Tallinn than the current prediction. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maardu Linnameeskond than the current prediction. (-4.2%)FC Tallinn - Maardu Linnameeskond Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 8', 1 - 0, Dmitrijev A. ⚽, Shevyakov D. (A),
- 45', 1 - 1, Kouadio E. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 46', 1 - 2, Kouadio E. ⚽,
- 66', 2 - 2, Hansman M. ⚽,
- 70', 3 - 2, Iljin A. ⚽,
- 73', 4 - 2, Nesterov K. ⚽,
- 76', Nesterov K. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
FC Tallinn has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).Maardu Linnameeskond is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4). Maardu Linnameeskond will hold a modest advantage in this match.In the last 4 head-to-head matches, FC Tallinn won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.5:1.5).Including home matches between the teams, FC Tallinn won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 8 | FC Tallinn | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 39:63 | -24 | 32 |
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| 10 | Maardu | 36 | 12 | 5 | 19 | 45:59 | -14 | 41 |
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Estonian Esiliiga | | | 15.08.26 | Maardu Linnameeskond - FC Tallinn | 1:0 | | 28.05.26 | FC Tallinn - Maardu Linnameeskond | 0:0 | | 23.04.26 | Maardu Linnameeskond - FC Tallinn | 1:1 | | Club Friendly | | | 18.01.26 | FC Tallinn - Maardu Linnameeskond | 1:4 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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