Match Info

Esiliiga - Round 25

Date: 24 August 2026, Monday

Location: Kadrioru Staadion (Tallinn)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Tallinna Kalev		Maardu Linnameeskond

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.70	4.10	3.50
	1.68	4.05	3.6
	1.73	4.45	3.62
	1.67	4.58	3.63	Watch
	1.62	4.4	3.55
	1.74	4.7	3.55
	1.68	4.1	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.91)	4.34 ↑ (4.05)	3.57 ↑ (2.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tallinna Kalev
53.7%

Draw
20.9%

Maardu Linnameeskond
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.2%

22.2%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2%

20.9%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tallinna Kalev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tallinna Kalev's performance.

Maardu Linnameeskond has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Maardu Linnameeskond might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tallinna Kalev than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maardu Linnameeskond than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Tallinna Kalev - Maardu Linnameeskond Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
14', 0 - 1, Tsombaljuk S. ⚽, Volkov A. (A),
24', 0 - 2, Jumankin M. ⚽, Volkov A. (A),
28', Timoska A. 🟥,
35', Jumankin M. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
63', 1 - 2, Lehtmaa H. ⚽,
66', 1 - 3, Kouadio E. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kalev won 2.

Kalev is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Maardu Linnameeskond has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Kalev may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Kalev is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Kalev won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 32:27. (average 1.8:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Kalev won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 22:15. (average 2.2:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Tallinna Kalev	30	11	7	12	52:55	-3	40
10	Maardu	36	12	5	19	45:59	-14	41

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tallinna Kalev
Estonian Esiliiga
20.08.26	Nõmme Kalju U21 - Tallinna Kalev	0:3 ✺
15.08.26	Tallinna Kalev - Elva	1:0 ✺
Estonian Cup
11.08.26	Tallinna Kalev - Tartu Kalev	8:0 ✺
Estonian Esiliiga
08.08.26	Tallinna Kalev - FC Tallinn	1:1 ✺
03.08.26	Viimsi JK - Tallinna Kalev	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.4 WWWTW
- Maardu Linnameeskond
Estonian Esiliiga
20.08.26	Elva - Maardu Linnameeskond	1:0 ✺
15.08.26	Maardu Linnameeskond - FC Tallinn	1:0 ✺
08.08.26	Maardu Linnameeskond - Viimsi JK	1:2 ✺
01.08.26	Nõmme Kalju U21 - Maardu Linnameeskond	1:4 ✺
18.07.26	Flora U21 - Maardu Linnameeskond	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga
03.07.26	Tallinna Kalev - Maardu Linnameeskond	3:3
03.04.26	Maardu Linnameeskond - Tallinna Kalev	1:1
21.11.21	Maardu Linnameeskond - Tallinna Kalev	1:1
23.09.21	Tallinna Kalev - Maardu Linnameeskond	4:2
02.08.21	Maardu Linnameeskond - Tallinna Kalev	1:2
09.05.21	Tallinna Kalev - Maardu Linnameeskond	2:2
Club Friendly
11.01.20	Tallinna Kalev - Maardu Linnameeskond	3:0

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