Match Info

Esiliiga - Round 26

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Maardu linnastaadion (Maardu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Maardu Linnameeskond		Levadia Tallinn U21

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.80	2.70
	1.92	3.75	2.95
	2.03	3.74	2.85
	1.9	4.02	3.13
	1.84	3.8	3.1
	2.02	4.23	2.97	Watch
	1.94	3.8	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2.38)	3.88 ↑ (3.83)	2.95 ↑ (2.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maardu Linnameeskond
46.1%

Draw
23.3%

Levadia Tallinn U21
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

23.4%

38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

23.3%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maardu Linnameeskond has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Maardu Linnameeskond's performance.

Levadia Tallinn U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Levadia Tallinn U21 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maardu Linnameeskond than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Maardu Linnameeskond that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Levadia Tallinn U21 than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Levadia Tallinn U21 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Maardu Linnameeskond - Levadia Tallinn U21 Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Maardu Linnameeskond will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
7', 0 - 1, Zakarlyuka A. ⚽, Domov P. (A),
22', 1 - 1, Volkov A. ⚽,
29', 1 - 2, Liiv H. ⚽,
32', 2 - 2, Volkov A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
60', 3 - 2, Tsurilkin V. ⚽,
84', 4 - 2, Tserezov M. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Maardu Linnameeskond won 4.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Maardu Linnameeskond won 13 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 51:26. (average 2.8:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Maardu Linnameeskond won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:17. (average 2.1:2.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Levadia U21	30	14	2	14	60:55	5	44
10	Maardu	36	12	5	19	45:59	-14	41

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maardu Linnameeskond
Estonian Esiliiga
24.08.26	Tallinna Kalev - Maardu Linnameeskond	1:3 ✺
20.08.26	Elva - Maardu Linnameeskond	1:0 ✺
15.08.26	Maardu Linnameeskond - FC Tallinn	1:0 ✺
08.08.26	Maardu Linnameeskond - Viimsi JK	1:2 ✺
01.08.26	Nõmme Kalju U21 - Maardu Linnameeskond	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WLWLW
- Levadia Tallinn U21
Estonian Esiliiga
23.08.26	Levadia Tallinn U21 - FC Tallinn	2:1 ✺
20.08.26	Tartu Welco - Levadia Tallinn U21	4:2 ✺
15.08.26	Viimsi JK - Levadia Tallinn U21	5:0 ✺
08.08.26	Nõmme United U21 - Levadia Tallinn U21	1:2 ✺
01.08.26	Levadia Tallinn U21 - Elva	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga
16.05.26	Levadia Tallinn U21 - Maardu Linnameeskond	1:2
11.04.26	Maardu Linnameeskond - Levadia Tallinn U21	0:4
23.10.21	Levadia Tallinn U21 - Maardu Linnameeskond	0:4
03.07.21	Maardu Linnameeskond - Levadia Tallinn U21	3:1
06.05.21	Levadia Tallinn U21 - Maardu Linnameeskond	0:5
03.10.20	Maardu Linnameeskond - Levadia Tallinn U21	3:1
08.08.20	Levadia Tallinn U21 - Maardu Linnameeskond	2:1

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