The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
FCSB 26.7%
Draw 27.5%
Anderlecht 45.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
35.9%
28.3%
35.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.3%
27.2%
34.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
FCSB has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that FCSB's form might have worsened.
Anderlecht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Anderlecht's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for FCSB than the current prediction. (+10.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for FCSB, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Anderlecht than the current prediction. (-11.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Anderlecht, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
23.8%
19%
57.1%
FCSB - Anderlecht Predictions
Users Predictions:
63 users predict this event. FCSB will win (votes: 15 - 23.8%). Anderlecht will win (votes: 36 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 19%). Confidence interval (95%) for Anderlecht: 44.9% โ 69.3%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
FCSB has currently - 0, has a small chance of 1st (10%), has a chance of 2nd (33%), has a chance of 3rd (35%), has a chance of round of 16 (29%), has a small chance of qtrs (15%), has a small chance of semis (7%), has a very small chance of final (3%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).
Anderlecht has currently - 3, has a chance of 1st (19%), has a chance of 2nd (37%), has a chance of 3rd (32%), has a chance of round of 16 (38%), has a chance of qtrs (19%), has a small chance of semis (8%), has a very small chance of final (3%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).
This event has quality57, very big importance100, big match rating79. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Recent matches FCSB is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Anderlecht is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Anderlecht could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Anderlecht will have a poor advantage in this game.
There will not play in FCSB: Cristea L.
(Knee Injury)
Pantiru I.
(Knee Injury)
Popescu O.
(Knee Injury)
Sut A.
(Injury)
There will not play in Anderlecht: Raman B.
(Ankle Injury)
Trebel A.
(Shoulder Injury)