Match Info

Jupiler Pro League - Round 27

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Lotto Park (Anderlecht)

Referee: D'hondt L. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	DAZN Pro League 1, Sporza, Sporza


	Anderlecht		Oud-Heverlee Leuven

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.5	4.33	Watch
	1.68	3.9	4.8
	1.72	3.65	4.85	Watch
	1.75	3.83	5.05
	1.72	3.79	4.83	Watch
	1.7	3.5	4.6
	1.74	3.75	4.86	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.71)	3.7 ↓ (3.82)	4.76 ↓ (4.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Anderlecht
54.8%

Draw
25.4%

Oud-Heverlee Leuven
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.8%

25%

19.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.2%

26.5%

18.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Anderlecht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Oud-Heverlee Leuven has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Anderlecht than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oud-Heverlee Leuven than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	18.2%	0%

Anderlecht - Oud Heverlee Leuven Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Anderlecht (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Leuven (4.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Anderlecht will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Anderlecht (votes: 2 - 50%). Leuven (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Coosemans C. (C) 7. Camara I. 15. Ilic M. 93. Diarra M. 6. Augustinsson L. 13. Saliba N. 24. Llansana E. 83. Degreef T. 74. De Cat N. 9. Cvetkovic M. 11. Hazard T.	16. Prevot M. (G) 28. Pletinckx E. (C) 34. Nyakossi R. 30. Akimoto T. 27. Gil O. 24. Lakomy L. 4. Verstraete B. 14. Teklab H. 10. Maziz Y. 7. Verlinden T. 19. Ikwuemesi C.
Substitutes
91. Bertaccini A. 32. Heekeren J. (G) 3. Hey L. 79. Maamar A. 54. Sardella K. 33. Seghers M. (G) 14. Sikan D. 29. Stroeykens M. 78. Tajaouart A.	21. Balikwisha W. 45. Dekeyser K. (G) 3. Dussenne N. 6. George W. 61. Jochmans O. (G) 39. Kaba S. 33. Maertens M. 8. Schrijvers S. 17. Vaesen K.
Coaches
Taravel J.	Mazzu F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Gil O. ⚽,
29', 1 - 1, Pletinckx E. (Own goal),
35', Verlinden T. 🟨,
41', Gil O. ↓, Opoku D. ↑,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
46', Teklab H. ↓, Dussenne N. ↑,
47', Opoku D. 🟨,
47', 2 - 1, Hazard T. ⚽,
52', 3 - 1, Cvetkovic M. ⚽,
57', Augustinsson L. 🟨,
61', Lakomy L. ↓, Schrijvers S. ↑,
61', Verlinden T. ↓, Maertens M. ↑,
63', Verstraete B. 🟨,
65', Diarra M. 🟨,
66', Saliba N. ↓, Kanate I. ↑,
70', Dussenne N. 🟨,
71', 4 - 1, Hazard T. (Penalty Awarded),
74', Hazard T. ↓, Stroeykens M. ↑,
74', Cvetkovic M. ↓, Sikan D. ↑,
74', Maziz Y. ↓, Kaba S. ↑,
80', Ilic M. 🟨,
82', Degreef T. 🟨,
86', Degreef T. ↓, Bertaccini A. ↑,
87', Camara I. ↓, Sardella K. ↑,
90+4', 5 - 1, Bertaccini A. ⚽, De Cat N. (A),

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: ) and 13 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Anderlecht won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Anderlecht is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Anderlecht: Huerta Valera C. S. (Groin Injury) Kana M. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Leuven: Kayo B. (Knock) Leysen T. (Eye injury)

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Anderlecht won 8 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 32:18. (average 1.7:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Anderlecht won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 21:12. (average 2.3:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Anderlecht	8	5	1	2	9:6	3	16
14	Leuven	7	1	1	5	5:13	-8	4

Last Results with these Odds

Anderlecht - the odds 1.71 are the expected chance of winning is 55.79%, but this team recently wins 90% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Anderlecht
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
22.02.26	Zulte Waregem - Anderlecht	2:4 ✺
15.02.26	Anderlecht - RAAL La Louvière	0:0 ✺
Belgian Cup
12.02.26	Royal Antwerp - Anderlecht	0:4 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
08.02.26	Genk - Anderlecht	2:0 ✺
Belgian Cup
05.02.26	Anderlecht - Royal Antwerp	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WTWLL
- Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
21.02.26	Club Brugge - Oud-Heverlee Leuven	2:1 ✺
14.02.26	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Dender EH	3:2 ✺
07.02.26	Gent - Oud-Heverlee Leuven	1:3 ✺
01.02.26	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - KV Mechelen	2:2 ✺
24.01.26	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Saint-Gilloise	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 LWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
26.09.25	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Anderlecht	1:1
01.12.24	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Anderlecht	0:0
10.08.24	Anderlecht - Oud-Heverlee Leuven	1:1
21.01.24	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Anderlecht	1:1
28.10.23	Anderlecht - Oud-Heverlee Leuven	5:1
19.03.23	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Anderlecht	0:2
04.09.22	Anderlecht - Oud-Heverlee Leuven	2:2

Upcoming Matches