Match Info

Besta deild karla - Round 17

Date: 5 August 2026, Wednesday

Location: Kaplakriki (Hafnarfjördur)

Referee: Thrastarson S. H. (Ice)

Where to Watch on TV:


Iceland	SÝN Sport Ísland
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	OneFootball TV


	FH Hafnarfjordur		KR Reykjavík

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.20	4.20	1.83
	3.55	4.10	1.68	Watch
	3.50	4.54	1.88
	3.4	4.67	1.84	Watch
	3.35	4.45	1.84
	3.38	4.40	1.82	Watch
	3.20	4.30	1.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.37 ↓ (3.71)	4.38 ↓ (4.59)	1.82 ↑ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FH Hafnarfjordur
27.7%

Draw
21.3%

KR Reykjavík
51.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.5%

20.6%

54%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25%

20.2%

55%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FH Hafnarfjordur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

KR Reykjavík has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for FH Hafnarfjordur than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for KR Reykjavík than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

FH Hafnarfjordur - KR Reykjavík Predictions

Users Predictions: KR Reykjavík will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Andresson J. (G) 2. Jonsson B. 22. Olafsson I. (C) 5. Stefansson O. 37. Helgason B. 17. Bjarnason J. 6. Gunnarsson G. 90. Gudjohnsen A. 7. Halldorsson K. 14. Birgisson A. 10. Hjaltested S.	12. Georgsson H. (G) 28. Sigurdsson H. 7. Palmason F. 21. Eyjolfsson G. 26. Tomasson H. 17. Rae L. 23. Traustason A. 77. Kjartansson O. 45. Gudmundsson G. 11. Sigurdarson A. (C) 9. Saebjornsson E.
Substitutes
45. Andersen B. 24. Arnarsson D. (G) 3. Frostason K. S. 38. Gudmundsson A. 35. Purisevic A. 23. Robertsson T. 40. Saevarsson R. 39. Thorsson B. 11. Tryggvason G.	4. Akoto M. 29. Albertsson A. 95. Asgeirsson S. 8. Geirsson S. 24. Heimisson F. 1. Ingolfsson S. (G) 30. Karason S. 14. Svanthorsson J. 22. Thordarson A.
Coaches
Gudjonsson J.	Thorvaldsson O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
25', Gunnarsson G. 🟨,
32', 0 - 1, Rae L. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Gunnarsson G. ↓, Robertsson T. ↑,
55', Rae L. 🟨,
61', Saebjornsson E. ↓, Geirsson S. ↑,
62', 1 - 1, Halldorsson K. ⚽,
72', Hjaltested S. ↓, Andersen B. ↑,
72', Birgisson A. ↓, Tryggvason G. ↑,
72', Eyjolfsson G. ↓, Svanthorsson J. ↑,
73', Gudmundsson G. ↓, Thordarson A. ↑,
80', Gudjohnsen A. ↓, Thorsson B. ↑,
88', Tryggvason G. 🟨,
90+3', Halldorsson K. 🟨,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 12 in the zone Besta deild karla (Relegation Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Besta deild karla (Championship Group: )).

KR Reykjavík is Qualified for Besta deild karla (Championship Group )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hafnarfjordur won 0.

Hafnarfjordur has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

KR Reykjavík is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Hafnarfjordur may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Hafnarfjordur has had a series of home games.

In this match, KR Reykjavík is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hafnarfjordur won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 31:32. (average 1.6:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Hafnarfjordur won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:14. (average 1.9:1.4).

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	KR Reykjavik	24	14	5	5	80:52	28	47

Last Results with these Odds

KR Reykjavík - the odds 1.75 are the expected chance of winning is 53.97%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FH Hafnarfjordur
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
26.07.26	Fram - FH Hafnarfjordur	0:0 ✺
20.07.26	FH Hafnarfjordur - Breiðablik	0:0 ✺
12.07.26	FH Hafnarfjordur - Valur	2:0 ✺
03.07.26	FH Hafnarfjordur - Stjarnan	2:2 ✺
28.06.26	FH Hafnarfjordur - ÍBV Vestmannaeyar	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 TTWTT
- KR Reykjavík
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
19.07.26	KR Reykjavík - Stjarnan	5:0 ✺
12.07.26	KR Reykjavík - ÍBV Vestmannaeyar	5:2 ✺
02.07.26	Thor Akureyri - KR Reykjavík	3:3 ✺
28.06.26	Keflavík - KR Reykjavík	3:2 ✺
22.06.26	KR Reykjavík - Akraness	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic Besta-deild karla
27.04.26	KR Reykjavík - FH Hafnarfjordur	4:2
29.06.25	KR Reykjavík - FH Hafnarfjordur	3:2
23.04.25	FH Hafnarfjordur - KR Reykjavík	2:2
12.08.24	KR Reykjavík - FH Hafnarfjordur	1:0
20.05.24	FH Hafnarfjordur - KR Reykjavík	1:2
07.10.23	FH Hafnarfjordur - KR Reykjavík	3:1
18.07.23	KR Reykjavík - FH Hafnarfjordur	1:0

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