Match Info

Besta deild karla - Round 14

Date: 12 July 2026, Sunday

Location: Kaplakriki (Hafnarfjördur)

Referee: Jonsson J. I. (Ice)

Where to Watch on TV:


Iceland	SÝN Sport Ísland
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	Onefootball


	FH Hafnarfjordur		Valur

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.20	3.70	2.65
	2.35	3.95	2.48	Watch
	2.48	4.18	2.51
	2.34	4.07	2.64	Watch
	2.35	4.1	2.45
	2.42	4.01	2.46	Watch
	2.36	3.95	2.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↑ (2.35)	3.99 ↓ (4)	2.53 ↓ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

FH Hafnarfjordur
39.6%

Draw
23.4%

Valur
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.2%

23.6%

36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

23.8%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FH Hafnarfjordur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Valur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for FH Hafnarfjordur than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valur than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.2%	7.7%	23.1%

FH Hafnarfjordur - Valur Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Hafnarfjordur will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Valur will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hafnarfjordur: 46.4% – 99%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Andresson J. (G) 38. Gudmundsson A. 37. Helgason B. 6. Gunnarsson G. (C) 2. Jonsson B. 23. Robertsson T. 40. Saevarsson R. 14. Birgisson A. 10. Hjaltested S. 7. Halldorsson K. 33. Bjornsson U.	18. Schram F. (G) 21. Palsson J. 22. Heimisson B. 66. Stephensen O. 11. Stole I. 17. Heimisson L. 28. Fridjonsson S. 24. Veldman M. 8. Jonsson J. 14. Skoglund A. 12. Haraldsson T. (C)
Substitutes
24. Arnarsson D. (G) 9. Finnbogason Kr. 3. Frostason K. S. 32. Gislason G. 90. Gudjohnsen A. 19. Jonsson A. 22. Olafsson I. 39. Thorsson B. 66. Vidarsson V.	35. Einarsson O. 19. Gardarson D. 13. Haagensen K. 30. Heiddalur G. 16. Kristjansson L. 95. Petersson T. (G) 26. Sigurbjornsson E. 36. Tufegdzic N. 37. Tufegdzic S.
Coaches
Gudjonsson J.	Hreidarsson H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
41', Gudmundsson A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Jonsson B. ↓, Carlsson T. ↑,
48', Gudjonsson J. 🟨,
59', Saevarsson R. ↓, Gudjohnsen A. ↑,
59', Hjaltested S. ↓, Olafsson I. ↑,
70', Birgisson A. ↓, Gislason G. ↑,
71', Bjornsson U. ↓, Finnbogason Kr. ↑,
79', 1 - 0, Gislason G. ⚽,
81', Heimisson L. 🟨,
88', Robertsson T. 🟨,
89', 2 - 0, Gislason G. ⚽, Finnbogason Kr. (A),
90+4', Palsson J. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 11 in the zone Besta deild karla (Relegation Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Besta deild karla (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hafnarfjordur won 1.

Recent performances by Hafnarfjordur have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Valur's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Hafnarfjordur has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hafnarfjordur won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 30:41. (average 1.5:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Hafnarfjordur won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:14. (average 1.8:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FH Hafnarfjordur
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
03.07.26	FH Hafnarfjordur - Stjarnan	2:2 ✺
28.06.26	FH Hafnarfjordur - ÍBV Vestmannaeyar	1:1 ✺
21.06.26	FH Hafnarfjordur - Thor Akureyri	1:1 ✺
14.06.26	Keflavík - FH Hafnarfjordur	1:2 ✺
29.05.26	FH Hafnarfjordur - Akraness	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 TTTWL
- Valur Reykjavik
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
04.07.26	ÍBV Vestmannaeyar - Valur	1:0 ✺
28.06.26	Thor Akureyri - Valur	2:4 ✺
21.06.26	Valur - Keflavík	1:1 ✺
16.06.26	Akraness - Valur	1:0 ✺
31.05.26	Valur - Vikingur Reykjavik	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic Besta-deild karla
23.04.26	Valur - FH Hafnarfjordur	3:0
19.10.25	Valur - FH Hafnarfjordur	4:4
27.07.25	Valur - FH Hafnarfjordur	3:1
04.05.25	FH Hafnarfjordur - Valur	3:0
19.10.24	FH Hafnarfjordur - Valur	1:1
19.08.24	FH Hafnarfjordur - Valur	2:2
25.05.24	Valur - FH Hafnarfjordur	2:2

Upcoming Matches