Match Info

Besta deild karla - Relegation Group - Round 2

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Kaplakriki (Hafnarfjördur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Iceland	SÝN Sport Ísland 3
World	OneFootball TV


	FH Hafnarfjordur		Stjarnan

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.75	3.70	2.15
	2.65	3.7	2.22	Watch
	2.77	3.95	2.38
	2.71	4	2.31	Watch
	2.7	3.75	2.3
	2.73	3.87	2.25	Watch
	2.7	3.8	2.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↑ (2.53)	3.82 ↓ (4.03)	2.26 ↓ (2.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FH Hafnarfjordur
34.4%

Draw
24.4%

Stjarnan
41.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.3%

23.4%

39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

24.3%

37.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FH Hafnarfjordur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Stjarnan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for FH Hafnarfjordur than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stjarnan than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

FH Hafnarfjordur - Stjarnan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Andresson J. (G) 2. Jonsson B. 22. Olafsson I. (C) 5. Stefansson O. 37. Helgason B. 23. Robertsson T. 17. Bjarnason J. 32. Gislason G. 14. Birgisson A. 7. Halldorsson K. 9. Finnbogason Kr.	12. Olafsson A. (G) 14. Hauksson B. 19. Leifsson A. 3. Kjeldsen G. 10. Matthiasson D. 29. Hauksson A. 18. Nokkvason G. 7. Eggertsson O. 23. Waren B. 11. Ingason B. 22. Atlason E. (C)
Substitutes
45. Andersen B. 24. Arnarsson D. (G) 90. Gudjohnsen A. 38. Gudmundsson A. 6. Gunnarsson G. 10. Hjaltested S. 31. Ketilsson K. 40. Saevarsson R. 11. Tryggvason G.	28. Alexandersson C. 1. Bergmann Gylfason D. (G) 99. Bjarnason A. 37. Bjornsson B. 27. Dankerlui D. 8. Gunnarsson J. 6. Ingimarsson S. T. 21. Turay I. 94. Vilhjalmsson A.
Coaches
Gudjonsson J.	Hauksson J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Bjarnason J. ⚽, Halldorsson K. (A),
21', 2 - 0, Gislason G. ⚽, Jonsson B. (A),
32', 3 - 0, Halldorsson K. (Penalty Awarded),
33', 4 - 0, Halldorsson K. ⚽, Finnbogason Kr. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Leifsson A. ↓, Ingimarsson S. T. ↑,
46', 4 - 1, Waren B. ⚽, Hauksson B. (A),
57', Hauksson A. 🟨,
61', 4 - 2, Waren B. ⚽, Ingason B. (A),
65', Hauksson A. ↓, Gunnarsson J. ↑,
65', Hauksson B. ↓, Dankerlui D. ↑,
68', Finnbogason Kr. ↓, Hjaltested S. ↑,
68', Birgisson A. ↓, Tryggvason G. ↑,
68', Gislason G. ↓, Gudjohnsen A. ↑,
77', Matthiasson D. ↓, Bjarnason A. ↑,
84', Halldorsson K. ↓, Gudmundsson A. ↑,
84', Ingason B. ↓, Vilhjalmsson A. ↑,
90', 5 - 2, Tryggvason G. ⚽, Gudjohnsen A. (A),
90+1', Robertsson T. ↓, Ketilsson K. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hafnarfjordur won 0.

Hafnarfjordur has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Stjarnan is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Hafnarfjordur has recorded 4 wins, 7 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 27:34 (averaging 1.4:1.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Hafnarfjordur against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, with 11:13 goals (averaging 1.2:1.4 per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FH Hafnarfjordur
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
13.09.26	FH Hafnarfjordur - KA Akureyri	3:0 ✺
06.09.26	Thor Akureyri - FH Hafnarfjordur	1:0 ✺
30.08.26	FH Hafnarfjordur - Keflavík	2:1 ✺
23.08.26	Akraness - FH Hafnarfjordur	1:1 ✺
16.08.26	FH Hafnarfjordur - Vikingur Reykjavik	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLWTL
- UMF Stjarnan
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
13.09.26	Stjarnan - ÍBV Vestmannaeyar	2:0 ✺
06.09.26	Stjarnan - ÍBV Vestmannaeyar	2:2 ✺
31.08.26	Breiðablik - Stjarnan	0:2 ✺
23.08.26	Stjarnan - Thor Akureyri	4:2 ✺
17.08.26	Fram - Stjarnan	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic Besta-deild karla
03.07.26	FH Hafnarfjordur - Stjarnan	2:2
17.04.26	Stjarnan - FH Hafnarfjordur	3:2
21.09.25	Stjarnan - FH Hafnarfjordur	0:0
07.07.25	FH Hafnarfjordur - Stjarnan	1:1
07.04.25	Stjarnan - FH Hafnarfjordur	2:1
26.10.24	Stjarnan - FH Hafnarfjordur	3:2
01.09.24	FH Hafnarfjordur - Stjarnan	0:3

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