Match Info

Besta deild karla - Round 20

Date: 23 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Samsung völlurinn (Gardabaer)

Where to Watch on TV:


Iceland	SÝN Sport Ísland 5
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	OneFootball TV


	Stjarnan		Thor Akureyri

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.41	5.25	5.50
	1.43	4.60	5.00
	1.38	5.64	6.41
	1.48	4.95	5.78	Watch
	1.36	5.65	6.40
	1.37	5.50	6.31	Watch
	1.40	5.20	5.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.43)	5.26 ↓ (5.46)	5.89 ↑ (5.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stjarnan
66.4%

Draw
17.7%

Thor Akureyri
15.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.2%

17.3%

16.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.2%

18.1%

15.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stjarnan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Thor Akureyri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stjarnan than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thor Akureyri than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Stjarnan - Thor Akureyri Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Olafsson A. (G) 14. Hauksson B. 5. Kristjansson G. (C) 3. Kjeldsen G. 32. Orvarsson O. 18. Nokkvason G. 29. Hauksson A. 7. Eggertsson O. 23. Waren B. 11. Ingason B. 22. Atlason E.	1. Stefansson A. (C) 6. Gudbrandsson G. 5. Affi Y. 2. Arnarsson A. 16. Brynjolfsson B. 23. Vazquez K. 7. Sigurjonsson A. 8. Halldorsson E. 22. Hlynsson A. 25. Jakobsen C. 9. Bertomeu V.
Substitutes
25. Alexandersson C. 1. Bergmann Gylfason D. (G) 33. Bjornsson A. 27. Dankerlui D. 6. Ingimarsson S. T. 19. Leifsson A. 10. Matthiasson D. 21. Turay I. 94. Vilhjalmsson A.	17. Gislason F. 37. Gunnarsson S. 30. Helgason P. 3. Hlynsson B. 35. Ingolfsson T. 28. Lalic F. (G) 10. Magnusson A. 20. Ottosson V. 4. Runarsson H.
Coaches
Hauksson J.	Hoskuldsson S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Eggertsson O. ⚽, Ingason B. (A),
41', 2 - 0, Atlason E. ⚽, Eggertsson O. (A),
43', Ingason B. 🟨,
45', 3 - 0, Ingason B. ⚽, Atlason E. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Arnarsson A. ↓, Ottosson V. ↑,
56', Halldorsson E. ↓, Gunnarsson S. ↑,
61', 4 - 0, Affi Y. (Own goal),
63', Eggertsson O. ↓, Matthiasson D. ↑,
63', Hauksson A. ↓, Vilhjalmsson A. ↑,
69', Bertomeu V. ↓, Gislason F. ↑,
69', Sigurjonsson A. ↓, Helgason P. ↑,
71', Ingason B. ↓, Turay I. ↑,
71', Hauksson B. ↓, Dankerlui D. ↑,
72', 4 - 1, Gunnarsson S. ⚽, Brynjolfsson B. (A),
72', Matthiasson D. 🟨,
74', Gudbrandsson G. 🟨,
78', Atlason E. ↓, Alexandersson C. ↑,
83', Affi Y. ↓, Ingolfsson T. ↑,
89', 4 - 2, Jakobsen C. ⚽, Gunnarsson S. (A),

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Besta deild karla (Relegation Group: ) and 12 in the zone Besta deild karla (Relegation Group: )).

Thor is Besta deild karla (Relegation Group )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stjarnan won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Stjarnan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Stjarnan has had a series of away games.

In this match, Stjarnan is a strong favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Stjarnan won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:11. (average 2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Stjarnan won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UMF Stjarnan
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
17.08.26	Fram - Stjarnan	3:1 ✺
09.08.26	Stjarnan - Keflavík	1:0 ✺
03.08.26	Valur - Stjarnan	2:3 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
30.07.26	Ilves - Stjarnan	3:1 penalties ✺
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
26.07.26	Akraness - Stjarnan	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWWLL
- Thor Akureyri
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
15.08.26	Thor Akureyri - Keflavík	0:2 ✺
09.08.26	Akraness - Thor Akureyri	2:0 ✺
04.08.26	Thor Akureyri - Breiðablik	1:0 ✺
27.07.26	KA Akureyri - Thor Akureyri	0:0 ✺
18.07.26	Thor Akureyri - Vikingur Reykjavik	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 45.8 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic Besta-deild karla
31.05.26	Thor Akureyri - Stjarnan	1:3
Icelandic Cup
12.06.24	Thor Akureyri - Stjarnan	0:1
Icelandic League Cup
19.02.22	Thor Akureyri - Stjarnan	1:1
09.03.19	Thor Akureyri - Stjarnan	2:1
Icelandic Cup
25.06.18	Thor Akureyri - Stjarnan	1:2 ET
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
11.08.14	Stjarnan - Thor Akureyri	2:1
18.05.14	Thor Akureyri - Stjarnan	3:4

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