Match Info

Besta deild karla - Round 19

Date: 17 August 2026, Monday

Location: Laugardalsvöllur (Reykjavík)

Where to Watch on TV:


Iceland	SÝN Sport Ísland
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	OneFootball TV


	Fram		Stjarnan

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.80	4.10	3.30
	1.94	3.85	2.90	Watch
	1.89	4.50	3.47
	2.22	4.26	2.73	Watch
	1.82	4.45	3.40
	1.85	4.20	3.38	Watch
	1.86	4.10	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.81)	4.21 ↓ (4.22)	3.22 ↓ (3.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fram
48.8%

Draw
22.2%

Stjarnan
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.1%

21.9%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

21.3%

26.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fram has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Stjarnan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fram than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stjarnan than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Fram - Stjarnan Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Fram will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Stjarnan will win (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fram: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Sigurdsson V. (G) 19. Chopart K. (C) 5. McLagan K. 26. Runarsson S. 3. Thorbjornsson T. 8. Asgrimsson H. 25. Sigurdsson F. 18. Jonasson A. 10. Fred Saraiva 9. Hauksson R. 29. Dimitrijevic V.	1. Bergmann Gylfason D. (G) 14. Hauksson B. 19. Leifsson A. 3. Kjeldsen G. 32. Orvarsson O. 21. Turay I. 8. Gunnarsson J. 7. Eggertsson O. 18. Nokkvason G. 23. Waren B. 22. Atlason E. (C)
Substitutes
23. Aegisson M. 24. Birgisson N. 15. Bystrom J. 16. Garcia I. 1. Hardarson S. (G) 38. Hedinsson G. A. 21. Hlynsson O. 7. Konradsson K. 14. Runolfsson B.	25. Alexandersson C. 99. Bjarnason A. 29. Hauksson A. 11. Ingason B. 6. Ingimarsson S. T. 12. Olafsson A. (G) 34. Saemundsson B. 4. Thorisson T. 94. Vilhjalmsson A.
Coaches
Kristinsson R.	Hauksson J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
12', 1 - 0, Hauksson R. ⚽, Fred Saraiva (A),
34', 1 - 1, Atlason E. ⚽, Gunnarsson J. (A),
38', Dimitrijevic V. 🟨,
39', 2 - 1, Hauksson R. ⚽, Dimitrijevic V. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', Fred Saraiva ↓, Aegisson M. ↑,
62', 3 - 1, Aegisson M. ⚽, Dimitrijevic V. (A),
63', Turay I. ↓, Ingimarsson S. T. ↑,
63', Leifsson A. ↓, Ingason B. ↑,
73', Hauksson B. 🟨,
77', Sigurdsson F. ↓, Garcia I. ↑,
77', Atlason E. ↓, Bjarnason A. ↑,
77', Eggertsson O. ↓, Vilhjalmsson A. ↑,
77', Nokkvason G. ↓, Hauksson A. ↑,
79', Gunnarsson J. 🟨,
84', Asgrimsson H. 🟨,
88', Hauksson R. ↓, Bystrom J. ↑,
88', Dimitrijevic V. ↓, Runolfsson B. ↑,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Besta deild karla (Championship Group: ) and 8 in the zone Besta deild karla (Relegation Group: )).

Fram is Qualified for Besta deild karla (Championship Group )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fram won 1.

Fram is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Stjarnan's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Fram may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Fram will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Fram won 3 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 18:30. (average 0.9:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Fram won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:15. (average 1.3:1.5).

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Fram	24	13	7	4	59:47	12	46

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fram Reykjavik
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
10.08.26	Fram - KR Reykjavík	2:5 ✺
01.08.26	ÍBV Vestmannaeyar - Fram	1:2 ✺
26.07.26	Fram - FH Hafnarfjordur	0:0 ✺
18.07.26	Valur - Fram	2:3 ✺
12.07.26	Fram - Thor Akureyri	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWTWW
- UMF Stjarnan
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
09.08.26	Stjarnan - Keflavík	1:0 ✺
03.08.26	Valur - Stjarnan	2:3 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
30.07.26	Ilves - Stjarnan	3:1 penalties ✺
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
26.07.26	Akraness - Stjarnan	5:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
23.07.26	Stjarnan - Ilves	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic Besta-deild karla
22.05.26	Stjarnan - Fram	0:1
Icelandic League Cup
21.02.26	Fram - Stjarnan	2:3
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
20.10.25	Fram - Stjarnan	1:1
06.08.25	Fram - Stjarnan	1:1
10.05.25	Stjarnan - Fram	2:0
06.08.24	Fram - Stjarnan	2:1
10.05.24	Stjarnan - Fram	1:1

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