The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
FK Beograd 21.5%
Draw 24.6%
Adelaide City 53.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
28.8%
26%
45.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.4%
25.7%
45.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
FK Beograd has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that FK Beograd's form might have worsened.
Adelaide City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Adelaide City's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for FK Beograd than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for FK Beograd, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adelaide City than the current prediction. (-8.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Adelaide City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
FK Beograd - Adelaide City Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
68', 0 - 2, ⚽,
88', 0 - 3, ⚽,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day โ two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL South Australia (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL South Australia (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
Beograd is Qualified for NPL South Australia (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Adelaide City is Qualified for NPL South Australia (Play Offs Semi~finals)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Beograd won 2.
Beograd is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Adelaide City is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Beograd may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Adelaide City has had a series of home games.
In this match, Adelaide City is the team to beat.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Beograd won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:18. (average 1.2:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Beograd won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 0.7:1.5).