The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
FK Beograd 37.9%
Draw 24%
Croydon 38%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.6%
24.7%
31.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.3%
25.1%
31.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
FK Beograd has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that FK Beograd's form might have worsened.
Croydon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Croydon's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for FK Beograd than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for FK Beograd, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Croydon than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Croydon, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
FK Beograd - Croydon Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
6', 0 - 1, ⚽,
31', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (4 - 1)
60', 1 - 2, ⚽,
64', 2 - 2, ⚽,
76', 2 - 3, ⚽,
83', 3 - 3, ⚽,
90', 4 - 3, ⚽,
Preview
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL South Australia (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL South Australia (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Beograd won 4.
Beograd has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Croydon is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Beograd won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:14. (average 1.8:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Beograd won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 1.8:1).