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Current Win Probability
FK Beograd 42.7%
Draw 23.2%
Adelaide United U23 34.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50.5%
22.7%
26.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.3%
21.5%
25.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
FK Beograd has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that FK Beograd's form might have worsened.
Adelaide United U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Adelaide United U23's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for FK Beograd than the current prediction. (+10.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for FK Beograd, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adelaide United U23 than the current prediction. (-8.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Adelaide United U23, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
16.7%
16.7%
FK Beograd - Adelaide United U23 Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Beograd will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Adelaide United U23 will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Tatu A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
74', 0 - 2, Tatu A. ⚽,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL South Australia (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Beograd won 2.
Beograd is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Adelaide United U23's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0).
Adelaide United U23 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Beograd won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1.5:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Beograd won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 2:1.7).
Watch
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