Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - ROUND 25

Date: 8 April 2023, Saturday


	Fabril do Barreiro		Esperança de Lagos

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.87	2.75
	2.43	2.85	2.75
	2.51	3	2.89
	2.55	3	2.7
	2.5	2.95	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↑ (2)	2.93 ↓ (3.07)	2.77 ↓ (3.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fabril do Barreiro
36.4%

Draw
30.9%

Esperança de Lagos
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.5%

29.7%

24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

28.5%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fabril do Barreiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fabril do Barreiro's form might have worsened.

Esperança de Lagos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Esperança de Lagos's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fabril do Barreiro than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fabril do Barreiro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Esperança de Lagos than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Esperança de Lagos, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 5 and 11).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Fabril do Barreiro will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Fabril do Barreiro won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Fabril do Barreiro won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fabril do Barreiro
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
02.04.23	Imortal - Fabril do Barreiro	0:0 ✺
19.03.23	Fabril do Barreiro - Praiense	1:2 ✺
12.03.23	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira - Fabril do Barreiro	0:0 ✺
05.03.23	Fabril do Barreiro - Oriental Dragon	1:1 ✺
26.02.23	Olhanense - Fabril do Barreiro	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TLTTW
- Esperança de Lagos
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
02.04.23	Esperança de Lagos - Rabo de Peixe	0:0 ✺
19.03.23	Angrense - Esperança de Lagos	1:1 ✺
12.03.23	Esperança de Lagos - Atlético CP	0:2 ✺
05.03.23	Serpa - Esperança de Lagos	2:4 ✺
26.02.23	Esperança de Lagos - Lusitano GC	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
18.12.22	Esperança de Lagos - Fabril do Barreiro	1:0
19.01.20	Esperança de Lagos - Fabril do Barreiro	1:0
18.08.19	Fabril do Barreiro - Esperança de Lagos	0:0

Fabril do Barreiro - Esperança de Lagos: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide