Match Info

PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 7

Date: 27 October 2024, Sunday


	Fabril do Barreiro		Lusitano GC

	1	X	2
	5	3.4	1.6
	5.2	3.5	1.6
	6.37	3.17	1.59
	5.22	3.6	1.59
	5.2	3.5	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.4 ↓ (5.7)	3.43 ↓ (4.2)	1.6 ↑ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fabril do Barreiro
16.8%

Draw
26.4%

Lusitano GC
56.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.9%

21.6%

62.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.6%

21.2%

63.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fabril do Barreiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Lusitano GC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lusitano GC might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fabril do Barreiro than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lusitano GC than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lusitano GC could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Fabril do Barreiro - Lusitano GC Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
72', 1 - 0, Diogo R. ⚽,
78', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fabril do Barreiro
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
06.10.24	Serpa - Fabril do Barreiro	1:0 ✺
29.09.24	Fabril do Barreiro - Moura	1:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
22.09.24	Lajense - Fabril do Barreiro	2:1 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
15.09.24	Amora - Fabril do Barreiro	2:0 ✺
01.09.24	Fabril do Barreiro - Lagoa	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LTLLL
- Lusitano GC
Taça de Portugal
20.10.24	Lusitano GC - Estoril Praia	1:0 penalties ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
06.10.24	Lusitano GC - Operário Ferroviario	2:0 ✺
29.09.24	Barreirense - Lusitano GC	0:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
22.09.24	Lusitano GC - Académico de Viseu	2:1 penalties ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
15.09.24	Serpa - Lusitano GC	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 31.2 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
04.02.24	Lusitano GC - Fabril do Barreiro	0:0
01.10.23	Fabril do Barreiro - Lusitano GC	0:1
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
15.01.23	Fabril do Barreiro - Lusitano GC	1:1
Club Friendly
17.07.19	Fabril do Barreiro - Lusitano GC	0:1

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