Match Info

PORTUGAL: Taça de Portugal - 1/32-finals

Date: 20 October 2024, Sunday

Location: Campo Estrela (Evora)


	Lusitano GC		Estoril Praia

	1	X	2
	5.25	4.1	1.48
	5.75	4	1.46
	6.5	4.2	1.45
	6.31	3.57	1.5
	6.4	3.7	1.51	Watch
	5.5	4.33	1.44
	7.2	4.2	1.45
	6.5	4.2	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.18 ↓ (6.49)	4.04 ↓ (4.92)	1.47 ↑ (1.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lusitano GC
14.8%

Draw
22.7%

Estoril Praia
62.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.1%

18.5%

67.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.1%

19.9%

72.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lusitano GC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Estoril Praia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lusitano GC than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estoril Praia than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Estoril Praia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lusitano GC - Estoril Praia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Marcelo Valverde (G) 10. Aguas M. 6. Andrade M. 30. Davou S. 88. Juah J. 9. Lopes David D. 5. Palancha T. 7. Perez M. 25. Pinto J. 21. Rosa Soares M. V. 4. Santana C.	1. Chamorro K. (G) 23. Alvaro P. 24. Amaral P. 44. Boma K. 22. Carvalho P. 18. Costa G. 17. Garcia Andrade F. 10. Holsgrove J. 9. Marques A. 92. Salazar I. P. 7. Vinicius Zanocelo
Substitutes
18. Baptista T. . Delgado J. . Lima T. . Lukao . Martins D. . Monteiro R. . Reis A. 32. Santos A. . Sousa A.	14. Begraoui Y. 12. Carvalho J. 8. Costa da Silva M. 89. Goncalves A. . Jandro 19. Lacximicant A. 20. Pina W. 3. Sierra I. . Vitorovic Z.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
33', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
86', 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,
Extra Time (0 - 0)
120+3', 🟨,
120+3', 🟨,
Penalties (4 - 3)

Preview

Lusitano GC is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Estoril is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Estoril is certain favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Lusitano GC won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lusitano GC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
06.10.24	Lusitano GC - Operário Ferroviario	2:0 ✺
29.09.24	Barreirense - Lusitano GC	0:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
22.09.24	Lusitano GC - Académico de Viseu	2:1 penalties ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
15.09.24	Serpa - Lusitano GC	0:0 ✺
25.08.24	Amora - Lusitano GC	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.5 WWWTT
- Estoril Praia
Liga Portugal
06.10.24	Farense - Estoril Praia	1:0 ✺
27.09.24	Estoril Praia - Sporting Lisbon	0:3 ✺
21.09.24	Rio Ave - Estoril Praia	2:2 ✺
15.09.24	Estoril Praia - Nacional	1:0 ✺
31.08.24	Boavista - Estoril Praia	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Taça de Portugal
09.12.20	Estoril Praia - Lusitano GC	5:0

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