Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - GROUP D - ROUND 23

Date: 9 March 2024, Saturday


	Fabril do Barreiro		Oriental

	1	X	2
	1.95	3	4
	1.94	3.1	4.16
	1.95	3.12	4.19
	1.91	3.14	3.92
	1.96	3	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↑ (1.69)	3.07 ↓ (3.4)	4.02 ↓ (4.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fabril do Barreiro
47.3%

Draw
29.9%

Oriental
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

26.7%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9%

26.1%

19.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fabril do Barreiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fabril do Barreiro's form might have worsened.

Oriental has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fabril do Barreiro than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fabril do Barreiro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oriental than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

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Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 9 and 11 in the zone Relegation).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Fabril do Barreiro is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Fabril do Barreiro won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 2-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Fabril do Barreiro won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fabril do Barreiro
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
03.03.24	Juventude de Évora - Fabril do Barreiro	0:0 ✺
25.02.24	Fabril do Barreiro - Barreirense	0:1 ✺
17.02.24	Sintrense - Fabril do Barreiro	1:1 ✺
10.02.24	Fabril do Barreiro - Vasco da Gama Vidigueira	3:0 ✺
04.02.24	Lusitano GC - Fabril do Barreiro	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 TLTWT
- Clube Oriental Lisboa
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
03.03.24	Oriental - Elvas	2:1 ✺
25.02.24	Oriental - Juventude de Évora	1:3 ✺
18.02.24	Barreirense - Oriental	2:2 ✺
11.02.24	Oriental - Sintrense	0:1 ✺
04.02.24	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira - Oriental	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
12.11.23	Oriental - Fabril do Barreiro	1:0
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
04.10.20	Fabril do Barreiro - Oriental	2:2
08.12.19	Oriental - Fabril do Barreiro	1:0
23.04.17	Oriental - Fabril do Barreiro	5:0
05.03.17	Fabril do Barreiro - Oriental	0:2

Fabril do Barreiro - Oriental: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide