Match Info

PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 20

Date: 23 February 2025, Sunday


	Lusitano GC		Fabril do Barreiro

	1	X	2
	1.2	5	14
	1.2	5.4	15.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.2 ↑ (1.14)	5.2 ↓ (6)	14.62 ↓ (15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lusitano GC
76.2%

Draw
17.6%

Fabril do Barreiro
6.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

79%

15%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lusitano GC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Fabril do Barreiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Lusitano GC - Fabril do Barreiro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Davou S. ⚽,
24', Ribeiro R. 🟥,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
49', 2 - 0, Soares M. ⚽,
66', 3 - 0, Lopes D. ⚽,
71', 4 - 0, Soares M. ⚽,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group and 12 in the zone Relegation).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Lusitano GC is indisputable favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lusitano GC won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:2 (average 0.8:0.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Lusitano GC won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lusitano GC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
16.02.25	Operário - Lusitano GC	0:0 ✺
09.02.25	Lusitano GC - Barreirense	2:0 ✺
02.02.25	Lusitano GC - Serpa	3:2 ✺
19.01.25	Lusitano GC - Amora	0:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
15.01.25	Braga - Lusitano GC	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TWWLL
- Fabril do Barreiro
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
16.02.25	Fabril do Barreiro - Serpa	0:0 ✺
09.02.25	Moura - Fabril do Barreiro	0:1 ✺
02.02.25	Fabril do Barreiro - Amora	0:1 ✺
26.01.25	Lagoa - Fabril do Barreiro	2:0 ✺
19.01.25	Fabril do Barreiro - Estrela da Amadora B	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
27.10.24	Fabril do Barreiro - Lusitano GC	1:1
04.02.24	Lusitano GC - Fabril do Barreiro	0:0
01.10.23	Fabril do Barreiro - Lusitano GC	0:1
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
15.01.23	Fabril do Barreiro - Lusitano GC	1:1
Club Friendly
17.07.19	Fabril do Barreiro - Lusitano GC	0:1

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