Match Info

IRAN: DIVISION 1 - ROUND 24

Date: 5 March 2023, Sunday


	Fajr Sepasi		Arman Gohar

	1	X	2
	1.73	2.95	4.8
	1.66	3.34	4.91
	1.75	3.1	5.05
	1.74	3.05	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.85)	3.11 ↑ (2.93)	4.94 ↑ (4.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fajr Sepasi
52.6%

Draw
29.1%

Arman Gohar
18.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.1%

30.3%

21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5%

28.9%

20.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fajr Sepasi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Arman Gohar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fajr Sepasi than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arman Gohar than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 5 and 13).

Recent matches Fajr Sepasi is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Arman Gohar is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Arman Gohar could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Fajr Sepasi is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Fajr Sepasi won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Fajr Sepasi won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fajr Sepasi
Iran Division 1
25.02.23	Shams Azar Qazvin - Fajr Sepasi	3:1 ✺
13.02.23	Fajr Sepasi - SaiPa	1:0 ✺
31.01.23	Fajr Sepasi - Esteghlal Khuzestan	1:1 ✺
25.01.23	Kheybar Khorramabad - Fajr Sepasi	1:0 ✺
18.01.23	Fajr Sepasi - Van Pars Naghshe Jahan	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWTLW
- Arman Gohar
Iran Division 1
27.02.23	Arman Gohar - Esteghlal Molasani	2:0 ✺
13.02.23	Khoosheh Talai - Arman Gohar	0:0 ✺
06.02.23	Khalij Fars Mahshahr - Arman Gohar	2:1 ✺
25.01.23	Chooka Talesh - Arman Gohar	2:0 ✺
18.01.23	Arman Gohar - Chadormalou Ardakan	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Iran Division 1
06.10.22	Arman Gohar - Fajr Sepasi	1:1
27.06.21	Fajr Sepasi - Arman Gohar	2:1
13.02.21	Arman Gohar - Fajr Sepasi	1:2
08.02.20	Arman Gohar - Fajr Sepasi	4:0
21.09.19	Fajr Sepasi - Arman Gohar	0:0

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