Match Info

Persian Gulf Pro League - Round 7

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Sardar Azadegan Stadium (Qazvin)


	Shams Azar Qazvin		Fajr Sepasi

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.98	2.88
	2.67	2.88	3.16
	2.48	3.02	2.91	Watch
	2.46	2.94	2.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↑ (2.47)	2.96 ↓ (2.98)	2.95 ↑ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shams Azar Qazvin
37%

Draw
31.5%

Fajr Sepasi
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.2%

30.8%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

31.2%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shams Azar Qazvin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Fajr Sepasi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shams Azar Qazvin than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

The ML Model estimate for Fajr Sepasi aligns with the current prediction.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jafarpour A. (G) 80. Aghamohammadi M. 2. Nejad Mehdi M. 33. Rabizadeh H. 77. Moamelehgari F. 66. Azadeh M. 11. Shojaeian D. 10. Mohkamkar A. 71. Moazemitabar S. 17. Mamizadeh M. 9. Fadakar S.	1. Gholamzadeh A. (G) 4. Jafarikia S. 3. Helichi A. 21. Azhir M. 15. Mousavi M. 66. Motlaghzadeh M. 6. Rigi M. 7. Zare S. 9. Bozorg S. 70. Nokhodkar H. 8. Esmaeili F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Zare S. ↓, Moradi M. ↑,
51', 0 - 1, Bozorg S. ⚽,
60', Shojaeian D. ↓, Nesaei A. ↑,
72', Mousavi M. 🟨,
75', Bozorg S. ↓, Haghdoost M. ↑,
82', Esmaeili F. ↓, Firooz F. ↑,
88', Moamelehgari F. ↓, Zand A. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Azadegan League and 12).

Recent performances by Shams Azar Qazvin have been up and down (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Fajr Sepasi is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Shams Azar Qazvin won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Shams Azar Qazvin won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shams Azar Qazvin
Iran Pro League
03.10.25	Aluminium Arak - Shams Azar Qazvin	1:0 ✺
26.09.25	Shams Azar Qazvin - Esteghlal	1:1 ✺
19.09.25	Mes Rafsanjan - Shams Azar Qazvin	0:0 ✺
13.09.25	Shams Azar Qazvin - Paykan	1:1 ✺
26.08.25	Shams Azar Qazvin - Chadormalou Ardakan	4:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LTTTT
- Fajr Sepasi
Iran Pro League
25.09.25	Tractor Sazi - Fajr Sepasi	0:0 ✺
19.09.25	Fajr Sepasi - Zob Ahan	1:0 ✺
12.09.25	Kheybar Khorramabad - Fajr Sepasi	1:1 ✺
26.08.25	Fajr Sepasi - Gol Gohar Sirjan	1:0 ✺
18.08.25	Persepolis - Fajr Sepasi	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.9 TWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Iran Division 1
25.02.23	Shams Azar Qazvin - Fajr Sepasi	3:1
28.09.22	Fajr Sepasi - Shams Azar Qazvin	1:0

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