Match Info

Persian Gulf Pro League - Round 8

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday


	Fajr Sepasi		Esteghlal

	1	X	2
	4.1	3.32	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.1 ↓ (4.5)	3.32 ↑ (2.8)	1.81 ↓ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Fajr Sepasi
22.2%

Draw
27.4%

Esteghlal
50.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.8%

31.9%

48.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.5%

30.8%

46.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fajr Sepasi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Esteghlal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fajr Sepasi than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Esteghlal than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Fajr Sepasi - Esteghlal Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gholamzadeh A. (G) 5. Shahabassi S. 21. Azhir M. 3. Helichi A. 4. Jafarikia S. 6. Rigi M. 66. Motlaghzadeh M. 11. Moradi M. 17. Shahabi H. 9. Bozorg S. 8. Esmaeili F.	76. Farabbasi H. (G) 2. Hardani S. 5. Ashurmatov R. 19. Fallah S. 27. Goudarzi H. 8. Razzaghinia A. 88. Ahmadi M. 70. Asani J. 17. Munir El Haddadi 20. Koushki A. 11. Saharkhizan S.
Substitutes
23. Firooz F. 13. Haghdoost M. 10. Key Shams Y. 70. Nokhodkar H. 98. Rezaei A. (G) 18. Rezaei M. . Vosoughifard A. 7. Zare S.	1. Adan A. (G) 23. Aghasi A. 7. Azadi M. R. 80. Eslami M. 55. Gholami A. 87. Gholizadeh E. 33. Jalali A. 9. Nazon D. 10. Rezaeian R. 3. Sohrabian A. 15. Zamani A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
5', Motlaghzadeh M. 🟨,
39', Shahabassi S. 🟨,
42', 0 - 1, Asani J. (Pen),
45+4', 0 - 2, Saharkhizan S. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Shahabassi S. ↓, Haghdoost M. ↑,
54', Fallah S. 🟨,
57', Motlaghzadeh M. ↓, Key Shams Y. ↑,
62', Shahabi H. ↓, Vosoughifard A. ↑,
63', Ahmadi M. ↓, Zamani A. ↑,
70', Esmaeili F. ↓, Zare S. ↑,
70', Bozorg S. ↓, Firooz F. ↑,
78', Asani J. 🟨,
78', Asani J. ↓, Rezaeian R. ↑,
78', Koushki A. ↓, Eslami M. ↑,
82', Saharkhizan S. ↓, Azadi M. R. ↑,
82', Munir El Haddadi ↓, Gholizadeh E. ↑,
87', 0 - 3, Goudarzi H. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fajr Sepasi won 0.

Fajr Sepasi is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Esteghlal has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Fajr Sepasi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Esteghlal is the team to beat.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Fajr Sepasi won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 2:14. (average 0.3:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Fajr Sepasi won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:9. (average 1:4.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fajr Sepasi
Iran Pro League
18.10.25	Shams Azar Qazvin - Fajr Sepasi	0:1 ✺
25.09.25	Tractor Sazi - Fajr Sepasi	0:0 ✺
19.09.25	Fajr Sepasi - Zob Ahan	1:0 ✺
12.09.25	Kheybar Khorramabad - Fajr Sepasi	1:1 ✺
26.08.25	Fajr Sepasi - Gol Gohar Sirjan	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.7 WTWTW
- Esteghlal FC
AFC Champions League 2
22.10.25	Esteghlal - Al-Wehdat	2:0 ✺
Iran Pro League
17.10.25	Esteghlal - Mes Rafsanjan	1:0 ✺
05.10.25	Chadormalou Ardakan - Esteghlal	1:1 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
01.10.25	Esteghlal - Al-Muharraq	0:1 ✺
Iran Pro League
26.09.25	Shams Azar Qazvin - Esteghlal	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Iran Pro League
23.02.22	Esteghlal - Fajr Sepasi	1:0
Iran Hazfi Cup
17.10.19	Esteghlal - Fajr Sepasi	3:0 ET
Iran Pro League
14.12.13	Esteghlal - Fajr Sepasi	1:0
06.08.13	Fajr Sepasi - Esteghlal	2:4
15.02.13	Fajr Sepasi - Esteghlal	0:5
21.09.12	Esteghlal - Fajr Sepasi	0:0

Upcoming Matches