Match Info

IRAN: Azadegan League - Round 26

Date: 18 March 2025, Tuesday


	Fajr Sepasi		Mes Sungun

	1	X	2
	1.71	3.45	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.96)	3.45 ↑ (3.15)	5.5 ↑ (4.3)

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Fajr Sepasi
55.4%

Draw
27.4%

Mes Sungun
17.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.1%

29.9%

21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

30.3%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fajr Sepasi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fajr Sepasi's performance.

Mes Sungun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fajr Sepasi than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fajr Sepasi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mes Sungun than the current prediction. (+5%)

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Persian Gulf Pro League and 13).

Fajr Sepasi is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Mes Sungun is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Fajr Sepasi is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Fajr Sepasi won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:0 (average 2.7:0).

Including matches at home between the teams Fajr Sepasi won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fajr Sepasi
Iran Division 1
11.03.25	Mes Kerman - Fajr Sepasi	1:2 ✺
04.03.25	Fajr Sepasi - Palayesh Naft	1:0 ✺
25.02.25	Paykan - Fajr Sepasi	1:1 ✺
19.02.25	Fajr Sepasi - Sanat Naft	0:1 ✺
14.02.25	Shahr Raz - Fajr Sepasi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWTLW
- Mes Sungun FSC
Iran Division 1
11.03.25	Palayesh Naft - Mes Sungun	2:0 ✺
05.03.25	Mes Sungun - Sanat Naft	1:0 ✺
26.02.25	Shahrdari Astara - Mes Sungun	1:1 ✺
19.02.25	Mes Sungun - Paykan	0:2 ✺
13.02.25	Ario Eslamshahr - Mes Sungun	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Iran Division 1
29.10.24	Mes Sungun - Fajr Sepasi	0:2
05.06.24	Fajr Sepasi - Mes Sungun	3:0
13.12.23	Mes Sungun - Fajr Sepasi	0:3

Upcoming Matches