The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tractor Sazi 37.4%
Draw 30.8%
Esteghlal 31.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.1%
32.4%
24.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.5%
34.2%
23.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tractor Sazi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tractor Sazi's form might have worsened.
Esteghlal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Esteghlal's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tractor Sazi than the current prediction. (+8.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tractor Sazi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Esteghlal than the current prediction. (-8.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Esteghlal, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
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2
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Tractor Sazi - Esteghlal Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tractor Sazi won 3.
Tractor Sazi has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Esteghlal is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Recently, Tractor Sazi has faced a series of away games on the road.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Tractor Sazi has recorded 7 wins, 3 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 19:30 (averaging 1:1.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Tractor Sazi against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with 11:11 goals (averaging 1:1 per game).