Match Info

BRAZIL: Sergipano - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 8 March 2025, Saturday


	Falcon		Confiança

	1	X	2
	6.75	3.8	1.43
	7	3.9	1.43
	7.63	3.82	1.4
	8.32	3.91	1.4	Watch
	9.1	3.85	1.37
	7	3.9	1.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.63 ↑ (6.2)	3.86 ↑ (3.8)	1.41 ↓ (1.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Falcon
11.9%

Draw
23.6%

Confiança
64.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.7%

24%

61.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.4%

23.5%

62.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Falcon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Confiança has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Falcon than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Confiança than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Falcon - Confiança Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Diogo (G) 4. Arthur Cacule 21. Barbosa de Jesus R. 3. Davi 11. Everson 7. Luiz Silva D. 6. Marcinho 10. Marquinhos 8. Ramos 5. Theo Maia 9. Ueslei	1. Rafael Mariano (G) 6. Airton 8. Andre Lima 11. Camilo B. 4. Eduardo Moura 5. Fabio Silva 10. Luiz Otavio 3. Maicon 9. Rodriguinho 7. Ronald Camarao 2. Valdir Junior

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
19', 0 - 1, Andre Lima (Pen),
31', Barbosa de Jesus R. ↓, Cotio L. ↑,
44', 1 - 1, Ueslei ⚽,
45+2', Eduardo Moura 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
47', 1 - 2, Ronald Camarao ⚽,
52', Luiz Silva D. 🟨,
55', Davi 🟨,
59', Ueslei ↓, Cacule ↑,
59', Marquinhos ↓, Guilherme ↑,
70', Valdir Junior ↓, Will ↑,
70', Camilo B. ↓, Weriton ↑,
77', Theo Maia ↓, Palominha ↑,
77', Luiz Silva D. ↓, Zanatelli L. H. ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Sergipano (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Sergipano (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Confiança could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Confiança is certain favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Falcon won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3:8 (average 0.6:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Falcon won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:6 (average 0.7:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Falcon FC
Brazilian Campeonato Sergipano
05.03.25	Lagarto - Falcon	0:1 penalties ✺
01.03.25	Lagarto - Falcon	3:0 ✺
24.02.25	Falcon - América de Propriá	0:1 ✺
15.02.25	Guarany de Porto da Folha - Falcon	2:0 ✺
10.02.25	Falcon - Carmópolis	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WLLLW
- AD Confiança Aracaju
Brazilian Campeonato Sergipano
01.03.25	Dorense - Confiança	2:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
26.02.25	Parnahyba - Confiança	0:5 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Sergipano
23.02.25	Confiança - Itabaiana	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
18.02.25	América RN - Confiança	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Sergipano
15.02.25	Confiança - Barra SE	8:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Sergipano
16.01.25	Falcon - Confiança	1:3
30.01.24	Confiança - Falcon	1:0
15.03.23	Falcon - Confiança	0:2
03.04.22	Falcon - Confiança	1:1
31.03.22	Confiança - Falcon	1:1

Falcon - Confiança: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide